Gorbunov, Vladimir (2022): The positive resolution of the microeconomic problem of market demand: issues of methodology and verification.
Preview |
PDF
MPRA_paper_115514.pdf Download (483kB) | Preview |
Abstract
The problem of consumer demand in modern (micro)economic theory is that this theory contains a normative theory of individual demand, but does not contain a positive theory of market demand – an object of real interest for economists-practitioners and governments. This failure has led to failures in equilibrium theory and applied demand analysis. The article presents a methodological analysis of this demand problem, created within the framework of general scientific methodology and with rejection of the individual demand theory. The studying object of this theory, is a fuzzy set of market buyers regarded as a holistic object and called the ‘statistical ensemble of consumers.’ This theory formally retains the individual demand theory, but it is a positive theory verifiable by trade statistics. The verification method of the theory is a development of the Afriat-Varian non-parametric one with the simultaneous calculation of economic indexes reflecting the population preferences.
Item Type: | MPRA Paper |
---|---|
Original Title: | The positive resolution of the microeconomic problem of market demand: issues of methodology and verification |
Language: | English |
Keywords: | market demand problem; methodological analysis; statistical ensemble of consumers; verification; Konüs indexes |
Subjects: | B - History of Economic Thought, Methodology, and Heterodox Approaches > B5 - Current Heterodox Approaches > B59 - Other C - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods > C4 - Econometric and Statistical Methods: Special Topics > C43 - Index Numbers and Aggregation C - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods > C5 - Econometric Modeling > C51 - Model Construction and Estimation D - Microeconomics > D1 - Household Behavior and Family Economics > D11 - Consumer Economics: Theory |
Item ID: | 115514 |
Depositing User: | Professor Vladimir Gorbunov |
Date Deposited: | 01 Dec 2022 07:11 |
Last Modified: | 07 Dec 2022 19:56 |
References: | Afriat, S. N. (1967). The construction of utility functions from expenditure data. International Economic Review, 8(1), 67-77. Allais, M. (1988). An outline of my main contributions to economic science. Nobel Lecture, December 9. Available at: https://www.nobelprize.org/uploads/2018/06/allais-lecture.pdf Allais, M. (1990). La science economigue d’aujourd’hui et les faits. Revue des Deux Mondes, June, 54-74. Anderson, P.W. (1972). More is different: Broken symmetry and the nature of the hierarchical structure of science. Science, 177, 393-395. Available at : https://www.science.org/doi/10.1126/science.177.4047.393 Arrow, K.J. (1994). Methodological individualism and social knowledge. The American Economic Review, 84(2), 1-9. Arrow, K.J., & Debreu, G. (1954). Existence of an equilibrium for a competitive economy. Econometrica, 22(3), 265-290. https://doi:10.2307/1907353 Barnett, W.A. & Serletis, A. (2008). Consumer preferences and demand systems. Journal of Econometrics, 147(2), 210–224. Boumans, M. & Davis, J. (2016). Economic Methodology: Understanding Economics as a Science. 2nd edn. Red Globe Press, London. Boysen, O. (2019). When does specification or aggregation across consumers matter for economic impact analysis models? An investigation into demand systems. Empirical Economics, 56, 137-172. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00181-017-1353-z Cassel, G. (1967). The Theory of Social Economy. Augustus M. Kelley, (1st edn. 1918, German). Colander, D. C., & Su, H.-C. (2015). Making sense of economists’ positive-normative distinction. Journal of Economic Methodology, 22(2), 157–170. https://doi.org/10.1080/1350178X.2015.1024877 CPIM (2004). Consumer Price Index Manual: Theory and Practice. International Labour Office. Geneva. Davis, J. (2013). Economists’ odd stand on the positive-normative distinction: A behavioral economics view. SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=2230062 Deaton, A. (1974). The analysis of consumer demand in the United Kingdom, 1900-70. Econometrica, 42(2), 341-67. Deaton, A. (1986). Demand Analysis. In: Z. Griliches, & M.D. Intriligator (Eds.), Handbook of Econometrics, 3., ch. 30 (1767-1839). New-Holland. Deaton A. & Muellbauer, J. (1980a). Economics and Consumer Behavior. University Press Cambridge. Deaton, A. & Muellbauer, J. (1980b). An almost ideal demand system. The American Economic Review, 70, 312-326. Diewert, W.E. (1993). The economic theory of index numbers: A survey. In: W.E. Diewert, & A.O. Nakamura (Eds), Essays in Index Number Theory. I (pp. 177-228). Elsevier. Friedman, M. (1953). The Methodology of Positive Economics. In: M. Friedman. Essays in Positive Economics (pp.3–43). University of Chicago Press. Frisch, R. (1992). Statics and dynamics in economic theory. Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, 3, 391-401 (Norwegian orig. 1929). Gorbunov, V.K. (2003). Regularization of nonlinear incorrect problems with parameterized data. In: V.A. Trenogin, & A.F. Filippov (Eds), Nonlinear analysis and nonlinear differential equations (pp. 418-447). Fizmatlit, Moscow. (Russian). Gorbunov, V.K. (2004). Mathematical model of the consumers' demand: Theory and applied potential, Economizdat, Moscow. (Russian). Gorbunov, V.K. (2015). Consumer Demand: Analytical Theory and Applications, Ulyanovsk, Publishing House of Ulyanovsk State University. (Russian). Available at: http://www.rfbr.ru/rffi/ru/books/o_1945611 Gorbunov, V.K. (2018). ‘Holistic theory of economic equilibrium: modified Cassel-Wald model’, Doklady Mathematics, vol. 98, pp. 537-539. Available at: https://link.springer.com/article/10.1134/S1064562418060121 Zbl 1419.91448 Gorbunov, V.K. (2021a). The holistic theory of the consumer market demand, European Proceedings of Social and Behavioural Sciences – CDSES (2020, vol. 105, 476-485). European Publisher. DOI: 10.15405/epsbs.2021.04.52 Gorbunov, V. (2021b). Market demand: a holistic theory and its verification (August 21, 2021). SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=3963940. Gorbunov, V.K., & Lvov, A.G. (2019). Inverse problem of the market demand theory and analytical indices of demand, Zhurnal SVMO, 21(1), 89-110. (Russian). DOI: 10.15507/2079-6900.21.201901.89-110 Gorbunov, V.K., Kozlova, L.A., Lvov, A.G. (2020). The construction of analytical indexes of market demand: A variative approach, Voprosy Statistiki, vol. 27, 65-80. (Russian). DOI: 10.34023/2313-6383-2020-27-3-65-80. Gorbunov, V.K., & Lvov, A.G. (2022). The analysis of consumer demand in Russia: two-stage construction of analytical indexes. Voprosy Statistiki, 29(4), 97-113. (Russian). https://doi.org/10.34023/2313-6383-2022-29-4-97-113 Gorman, W.M. (1953). Community preference fields. Econometrica, 21(1), 63-80. Hayashi, T. (2021. Microeconomic theory for the social sciences, Singapore, Springer. Zbl 1483.91002 Hicks, J.R. (1975). Value and Capital: An Inquiry into Some Fundamental Principles of Economic Theory, New York: Oxford University Press, 2 edn (1st edn 1939). Hillinger, C. (2008). ‘Science and ideology in economic, political and social thought’, Economics: The Open-Assessment E-Journal, vol. 2. http://www.economics-ejournal.org/economics/journalarticles/2008-2/ Hodgson, G.M. (1988). Economics and institutions: a manifesto for a modern institutional economics. Cambridge: Polity Press. Jevons, W.S. (1866). Brief account of a general mathematical theory of political economy, Journal of the Royal Statistical Society. London, XXIX, 282-287. Available at : https://socialsciences.mcmaster.ca/econ/ugcm/3ll3/jevons/mathem.txt Jevons, W.S. (1957). The Theory of Political Economy, 5 edn. New York: Augustus M. Kelley, (1st edn 1871). Keynes, J. N. (1998). The scope and method of political economy. Kitchener: Batoche Books, (1st edn 1890). Kirman, A. (2006). Demand theory and general equilibrium: From explanation to introspection, a journey down the wrong road. History of Political Economy, (38), 246-280. https://doi.org/10.1215/00182702-2005-025 Kirman, A. (2010). The economic crisis is a crisis for economic theory. CESifo Economic Studies, 56, 498-535. https://doi:10.1093/cesifo/ifq017 Konüs, A.A. (1939). The problem of the true index of the cost of living. Econometrica, 7(1), 10-29 (Russian orig. (1924). Mas-Colell, A., Whinston, M. and Green, J. (1995. Microeconomic Theory, New York, OUP. Petri, F. (2021). Microeconomics for the critical mind. Mainstream and heterodox analyses. In 2 volumes, Classroom Companion: Economics. Cham, Springer. Zbl 1486.91039 Polterovich, V.M. (1998). Crisis of economic theory. Ekonomicheskaya Nauka Sovremennoy Rossii. 1, 46-66. (Russian). Samuelson, P.A. (1956). Social indifference curves. The Quarterly Journal of Economics, 70(1), 1-22. Samuelson, P.A., Swamy, S. (1974). Invariant economic index numbers and canonical duality: Survey and Synthesis. The American Economic Review. 64, 566-593. Simon, H. (1972). Theories of bounded rationality. In: Decision and Organization, C. B. McGuire, R. Radner (eds.), (pp. 161-176), Amsterdam: North-Holland. Smuts, J.C. (1927). Holism and Evolution. 2nd edn. Macmillan And Co. Limited. Schrödinger, E. (1944). What is Life? The Physical Aspect of the Living Cell. Cambridge: CUP. Schumpeter, J.A. (1980). Methodological Individualism. (German orig. 1908). Stone, R. (1945). The Analysis of Market Demand, Journal of the Royal Statistical Society, 108(3/4), 286-391. Stone, R. (1954). Linear expenditure systems and demand analysis: an application to the pattern of British demand. Economic Journal, 64(255), 511-527. Tikhonov, A.N., & Arsenin, V.Ya. (1977). Solution of Ill-Posed Problems, New York: Wiley (Russian orig. 1974). Triplett, J.E. (2001). Should the Cost-of-Living Index provide the conceptual framework for a Consumer Price Index? The Economic Journal, 111(472), F311–F334. Varian, H. (1982). The nonparametric approach to demand analysis. Econometrica, 50(4), 945-973. Varian, H. (1983). Non-parametric tests of consumer behaviour. The Review of Economic Studies, 50(1), 99-110. Wald, A. (1951). On some systems of equations of mathematical economics. Econometrica, 19(4), 368-403 (German orig. (1936). Walras, L. (1954). Elements of Pure Economics, London, Allen and Unwin (1st French edn. 1874, Les éléments d'économie politique pure, Paris, Economica). Zadeh, L. A. (1965). Fuzzy sets, Information and Control, vol. 8, 338-353. |
URI: | https://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/id/eprint/115514 |