De Benedetto, Marco Alberto (2018): Quality of Politicians and Electoral System. Evidence from a Quasi-experimental Design for Italian Cities.
PDF
MPRA_paper_89511.pdf Download (1MB) |
Abstract
We study the effect of the electoral system on the quality of politicians, measured by the average educational attainment, at the local level in Italy over the period 1994-2017. Since 1993, municipalities below 15,000 inhabitants vote with a single-ballot system, whereas cities above 15,000 inhabitants threshold are subject to a double ballot. Exploiting the discontinuous policy change nearby the population cut-off we have implemented a RDD and found that runoff elections lead to a decrease in the educational attainment of local politicians by about 2% compared to years of schooling of politicians in municipalities voting with a single-ballot scheme. We speculate that the negative effect is driven by the different selection process of candidates adopted by political parties between runoff and single-ballot system. Findings are similar when we use alternative measures of quality of politicians related both to the previous occupation and to previous political experience, and when we control for different measures of political closeness.
Item Type: | MPRA Paper |
---|---|
Original Title: | Quality of Politicians and Electoral System. Evidence from a Quasi-experimental Design for Italian Cities |
Language: | English |
Keywords: | Regression discontinuity design; Electoral system; Education; Political competition. |
Subjects: | C - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods > C3 - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models ; Multiple Variables > C31 - Cross-Sectional Models ; Spatial Models ; Treatment Effect Models ; Quantile Regressions ; Social Interaction Models D - Microeconomics > D7 - Analysis of Collective Decision-Making > D72 - Political Processes: Rent-Seeking, Lobbying, Elections, Legislatures, and Voting Behavior I - Health, Education, and Welfare > I2 - Education and Research Institutions > I20 - General J - Labor and Demographic Economics > J4 - Particular Labor Markets > J42 - Monopsony ; Segmented Labor Markets |
Item ID: | 89511 |
Depositing User: | Dr Marco Alberto De Benedetto |
Date Deposited: | 25 Oct 2018 14:32 |
Last Modified: | 30 Sep 2019 08:29 |
References: | Baltrunaite, A, Bello, P, Casarico, A, and Profeta, P. 2014. Gender quotas and the quality of politicians. Journal of Public Economics 118, 62–74. Barone, G, de Blasio, G. 2011 Electoral rules and voter turnout. International Review of Law and Economics, Vol. 36, 25-35. Besley, T., 2007. Principled agents? The political economy of good government. Oxford University Press, USA. Besley, T., Coate, S., 1997. An economic model of representative democracy. The Quarterly Journal of Economics 112, 85-114. Besley, T., Montalvo, J.G., and Reynal-Querol, M., 2011. Do educated leaders matter? The Economic Journal 121, 205-227. Besley, T., Persson,T., and Sturm, D.M.. 2007. Political competition, policy and growth: theory and evidence from the US. The Review of Economic Studies 77, 1329-1352. Bordignon, M, Tabellini, G, and Nannicini, T. 2016. Moderating political extremism: single round vs runoff elections under plurality rule. American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 106(8), 2349-2370. Bracco, E, Brugnoli, A. 2012. Runoff vs plurality: effects of electoral system on intergovernmental grants. A regression discontinuity analysis. Lancaster Economics Working Paper 2. Caselli, F., Morelli, M., 2004. Bad politicians. Journal of Public Economics 88, 759-782. Callander, S. 1999. Electoral competition with entry. Working Papers 1083, California Institute of Technology, Division of the Humanities and Social Sciences. Calonico, S., Cattaneo, M. D. and Farrell, M. H.. 2018. On the effect of bias estimation on coverage accuracy in nonparametric inference. Journal of the American Statistical Association, forthcoming. Caughey, D, Sekhon. JS. 2011. Elections and the regression discontinuity design: Lessons from close US House races, 1942–2008. Political Analysis 19(4), 385–408. Chamon, M, Pinho de Mello, JM, and Firpo, S. 2008. Electoral rules, political competition and fiscal spending: regression discontinuity evidence from Brazilian municipalities. Textos para discusso 559, Department of Economics PUC-Rio (Brazil). Chattopadhyay, R. Duflo, E. 2004. Women as policy-makers: Evidence from a randomized policy experiment in India. Econometrica, 72(5), 1409-1443. Cox, G, Neto, OA. 1997. Electoral institutions, cleavage structures and the number of parties. American Journal of Political Science 41, 149–174. Daniele, G, Geys B. 2015. Organised crime, institutions and political quality: empirical evidence from Italian municipalities. The Economic Journal 125, 233-255. De Paola, M., Scoppa, V. 2011. Political Competition and Politician Quality: Evidence from Italian Municipalities. Public Choice, 148(3), 547-559. Ferraz, C., Finan, F., 2011. Motivating politicians: the impacts of monetary incentives on quality and performance. NBER Working Paper. Gagliarducci, S., Nannicini, T. 2011. Do better paid politicians perform better? Disentangling incentives from selection. Journal of the European Economic Association 11, 369-398. Galasso, V, Nannicini. T. 2011. Competing on good politicians. American Political Science Review 105, 79-99. Jones, B.F., Olken, B.A. 2005. Do leaders matter? National leadership and growth since World War II. The Quarterly Journal of Economics 120, 835-864. Imbens, G., Kalyanaraman, K. 2012. Optimal bandwidth choice for the regression discontinuity estimator. Review of Economic Studies 79 (3), 933-959. Lee, D. 2008. Randomized experiments from non-random selection in U.S. House elections. Journal of Econometrics 142, 675–697. Lee, DS, Moretti, E, and Butler, MJ. 2004. Do voters affect or elect policies? Evidence from the U.S. House. The Quarterly Journal of Economics 119(3), 807–859. Matozzi, M, Merlo, A. 2015. Mediocracy. Journal of Public Economics 130, 32-44. McCrary, J., 2008. Manipulation of the running variable in the regression discontinuity design: a density test. Journal of Econometrics 142, 698–714. Messner, M., Polborn, M.K. 2004. Paying politicians. Journal of Public Economics 88, 2423-2445. Milesi-Ferretti, G.M., Perotti, R., and Rostagno, M. 2002. Electoral systems and public spending. The Quarterly Journal of Economics, 117 (2), 609–657. Osborne, M.J., Slivinski, A. 1996. A model of political competition with citizen-candidates. The Quarterly Journal of Economics 111, 65-96. Pande, R. 2003. Can mandated political representation increase policy influence for disadvantaged minorities?. American Economic Review, 93(4), 1132–1151. Persson, T, Tabellini, G. 2005. The Economic Effects of Constitutions, Vol. 1, The MIT Press. Rizzo, L, Zanardi, A. 2010. Single ballot vs double ballot: does it matter for fiscal policies? Evidence from Italy. Technical Report, mimeo 2010. |
URI: | https://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/id/eprint/89511 |