Items where Subject is "E27 - Forecasting and Simulation: Models and Applications"

English

Ackon, Kwabena Meneabe (2013): Effect Of Fiscal Policy Shocks In Brazil. Forthcoming in:

Ahmed, Shahzad and Pasha, Farooq and Rehman, Muhammad (2014): The Role of Money in Explaining Business Cycles for a Developing Economy: The Case of Pakistan.

Albers, Scott (2019): An attitude of complexity: thirteen essays on the nature and construction of reality under the challenge of Zeno's Paradox.

Albers, Scott and Albers, Andrew L. (2011): The Golden Mean, the Arab Spring and a 10-step analysis of American economic history. Published in: The Middle East Studies Online Journal , Vol. 3, No. 6 (3 August 2011): pp. 199-253.

Albers, Scott and Albers, Andrew L. (2012): On the mathematic prediction of economic and social crises: toward a harmonic interpretation of the Kondratiev wave.

Albu, Lucian-Liviu (2006): Non-linear models: applications in economics.

Albu, Lucian-Liviu (2010): Scenarios for post-crisis period based on a set of presumed changes in the interest rate – investment – GDP growth relationship.

Albu, Lucian-Liviu (2011): Structural changes and convergence in EU and in Adriatic-Balkans Region.

Albu, Lucian-Liviu (2005): A dynamic model to estimate the “pure” productivity. Published in: Romanian Journal of Economic Forecasting , Vol. 1, (March 2005): pp. 30-34.

Andrianady, Josué R. (2023): Crunching the Numbers: A Comparison of Econometric Models for GDP Forecasting in Madagascar.

Arora, Vipin (2013): Aggregate impacts of recent U.S. natural gas trends.

Bakker, Bas and Ghazanchyan, Manuk and Ho, Alex and Nanda, Vibha (2020): The Lack of Convergence of Latin-America Compared with CESEE: Is Low Investment to Blame?

Baldursson, Fridrik M. and Hall, Axel (2008): Out of reach? Convergence to an inflation target in the Central Bank of Iceland's macroeconomic model. Published in: Timarit um vidskipti og efnahagsmal No. Special issue 2008 : pp. 83-106.

Barnett, William A. and Chauvet, Marcelle and Leiva-Leon, Danilo (2014): Real-Time Nowcasting Nominal GDP Under Structural Break.

Bayari, Celal (2020): The Neoliberal Globalization Link to the Belt and Road Initiative: The State and State-Owned-Enterprises in China [alternative title: Bilateral and Multilateral Dualities of the Chinese State in the Construction of the Belt and Road Initiative].

Belessiotis, Tassos and Carone, Giuseppe (1997): A dynamic analysis of France's external trade. Published in: European Economy - Economic Papers (European Commission DG ECFIN) No. 122 (November 1997): pp. 1-70.

Bell, William Paul (2008): Adaptive interactive profit expectations using small world networks and runtime weighted model averaging. Published in: Biomedical Applications of Micro- and Nanoengineering IV and Complex Systems (Proceedings Volume) , Vol. 7270, (30 December 2008)

Bentour, El Mostafa (2013): Oil prices, drought periods and growth forecasts in Morocco. Published in: International Journal of Economics and Management Science , Vol. 3, No. 1 (22 February 2014): pp. 1-12.

Bhattacharya, Sulagna (2009): Trickle-Down Effects of Changing Value of Euro on US Economy.

Branimir, Jovanovic and Magdalena, Petrovska (2010): Forecasting Macedonian GDP: Evaluation of different models for short-term forecasting. Published in: National Bank of the Republic of Macedonia Working Paper (August 2010)

Brinca, Pedro and Costa-Filho, João and Loria, Francesca (2020): Business Cycle Accounting: what have we learned so far?

Brinca, Pedro and Iskrev, Nikolay and Loria, Francesca (2018): On Identification Issues in Business Cycle Accounting Models.

Brinca, Pedro and João, Costa-Filho (2021): Output falls and the international transmission of crises.

Chang, Chia-Lin and Franses, Philip Hans and McAleer, Michael (2013): Are Forecast Updates Progressive?

Chen, Po-Chi and Yu, Ming-Miin and Chang, Ching-Cheng and Managi, Shunsuke (2014): Non-Radial Directional Performance Measurement with Undesirable Outputs.

Cobb, Marcus P A (2018): Improving Underlying Scenarios for Aggregate Forecasts: A Multi-level Combination Approach.

Cobb, Marcus P A (2017): Joint Forecast Combination of Macroeconomic Aggregates and Their Components.

Corsini, Lorenzo and Pacini, Pier Mario and Spataro, Luca (2010): An Assessment of the Italian 2007 Second Pillar Reform: a simulation approach.

D'Agostino, Antonello and McQuinn, Kieran and Whelan, Karl (2011): Are some forecasters really better than others?

D'Amuri, Francesco and Marcucci, Juri (2009): "Google it!" Forecasting the US unemployment rate with a Google job search index.

Daianu, Daniel and Albu, Lucian-Liviu (1996): Strain and the inflation - unemployment relationship: a conceptual and empirical investigation. Published in: Ace Project Memoranda, Department of Economics, University of Leicester , Vol. 96, No. 15 : pp. 1-39.

De Koning, Kees (2022): A U.S. home equity withdrawal scheme.

De Koning, Kees (2021): A proposal to use two interest rates in the U.S.; the FED Funds Rate and the Economic Recovery Rate.

Degiannakis, Stavros (2015): A Probit Model for the State of the Greek GDP Growth. Published in: International Journal of Financial Studies , Vol. 3, No. 3 (2015): pp. 381-392.

Degiannakis, Stavros (2021): Stock market as a nowcasting indicator for real investment.

Degiannakis, Stavros and Filis, George (2020): Oil price assumptions for macroeconomic policy.

Dion, David Pascal (2006): Does Consumer Confidence Forecast Household Spending?

Dion, David Pascal (2006): Does Consumer Confidence Forecast Household Spending? The Euro Area Case.

Dion, David Pascal (2006): Does Consumer Confidence Forecast Household Spending? The Euro Area Case (Appendix to the main text).

Direye, Eli (2017): An empirical study on the dynamic effects of fiscal shock on the economy of Papua New Guinea.

Dladla, Khumbuzile and Khobai, Hlalefang (2018): The impact of Taxation on Economic Growth in South Africa.

Doojav, Gan-Ochir (2021): Socio-economic recovery from the Covid-19 pandemic: Macroeconomic impacts and policy issues in Mongolia.

Doran, Justin and Fingleton, Bernard (2012): Economic shocks and growth: spatio-temporal perspectives on Europe's economies in a time of crisis. Forthcoming in: Papers in Regional Science

Dudek, Sławomir (2008): Consumer Survey Data and short-term forecasting of households consumption expenditures in Poland.

EZZAHIDI, Elhadj and El Alaoui, Aicha (2015): Determinants of the recent growth surge in Africa: what changed since mid-1990s?

Egorova, Yana (2017): Инвестирование денежных средств в условиях экономического кризиса в 2017 году.

Fantazziini, Dean (2014): Nowcasting and Forecasting the Monthly Food Stamps Data in the US using Online Search Data. Published in: Plos One , Vol. 11, No. 9 (2014)

Fedotenkov, Igor and van Groezen, Bas and Meijdam, Lex (2012): International trade with pensions and demographic shocks.

Fingleton, Bernard (2018): Exploring Brexit with dynamic spatial panel models : some possible outcomes for employment across the EU regions.

Francesco, D'Amuri (2009): Predicting unemployment in short samples with internet job search query data.

Garnitz, Johanna and Lehmann, Robert and Wohlrabe, Klaus (2017): Forecasting GDP all over the World: Evidence from Comprehensive Survey Data.

Garrouste, Christelle (2011): Towards a benchmark on the contribution of education and training to employability: methodological note. Published in: JRC Scientific and Technical Reports , Vol. EUR 24, No. 2011 (September 2011): pp. 1-86.

Guzman, Giselle (2007): Using sentiment surveys to predict GDP growth and stock returns. Published in: The Making of National Economic Forecasts No. Edward Elgar Publishing LTD (2009): pp. 319-351.

Harashima, Taiji (2024): Numerical Simulation of Economic Depression.

Hegadekatti, Kartik and S G, Yatish (2017): The Programmable Economy: Envisaging an Entire Planned Economic System as a Single Computer through Blockchain Networks. Published in: Economic Growth eJournal , Vol. 09, No. 58 (11 July 2017)

Huang, Kaixing (2016): The postwar growth slowdown and the path of economic development.

Jackson, Emerson Abraham and Tamuke, Edmund (2018): Probability Forecast Using Fan Chart Analysis: A case of the Sierra Leone Economy.

Jonsson, Andreas and Lindén, Staffan (2009): The quest for the best consumer confidence indicator.

Kaldasch, Joachim (2011): The experience curve and the market size of competitive consumer durable markets.

Khundrakpam, Jeevan Kumar (2012): Estimating Impacts of Monetary Policy on Aggregate Demand in India. Published in: RBI WORKING PAPER SERIES , Vol. 2012, No. 18 (December 2012): pp. 1-20.

Kilinc, Zubeyir and Yucel, Eray (2016): PMI Thresholds for GDP Growth.

Kitov, Ivan (2007): Exact prediction of inflation and unemployment in Japan.

Kodhelaj, Mimoza and Molla, Jonida (2010): Foreign Direct Investments in Albanian Market as part of Global Market and Globalization. Published in: Financial Management Association International (FMA) No. Finance, Markets, Investments, and Risk Management St. John's University New York, New York (20 May 2011)

Konchitchki, Yaniv (2011): Inflation and Nominal Financial Reporting: Implications for Performance and Stock Prices. Published in: The Accounting Review , Vol. 86, No. 3 (May 2011): pp. 1045-1085.

Koop, Gary and Korobilis, Dimitris (2012): Large time-varying parameter VARs.

LI, XI HAO and Gallegati, Mauro (2015): Stock-Flow Dynamic Projection.

Ledenyov, Dimitri O. and Ledenyov, Viktor O. (2015): Digital waves in economics.

Ledenyov, Dimitri O. and Ledenyov, Viktor O. (2015): General information product theory in economics science.

Ledenyov, Dimitri O. and Ledenyov, Viktor O. (2016): Precise measurement of macroeconomic variables in time domain using three dimensional wave diagrams.

Lehmann, Robert and Wohlrabe, Klaus (2016): Experts, firms, consumers or even hard data? Forecasting employment in Germany.

Leiva-Leon, Danilo (2013): Real vs. Nominal Cycles: A Multistate Markov-Switching Bi-Factor Approach. Forthcoming in: Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics

Lenarčič, Črt and Zorko, Robert and Herman, Uroš and Savšek, Simon (2016): A Primer on Slovene House Prices Forecast. Published in: SIR*IUS , Vol. 2017, No. 3 (2017): pp. 1-18.

Lin, Fan and Xie, Danyang (2023): Balancing Climate Change and Economic Development: the Case of China.

Lord, Montague (2005): Economic Growth in Uzbekistan: Sources and Potential.

Majumder, Rajarshi and Mukherjee, Dipa and Ray, Jhilam (2017): Education and labour market: estimating future skill gap in India.

Mamatzakis, E and Christodoulakis, G (2010): A Bayesian Markov Chain Approach Using Proportions Labour Market Data for Greek Regions.

Mamatzakis, E and Remoundos, P (2010): Threshold Cointegration in BRENT crude futures market.

Mansur, Alfan (2016): The Impact of a Loss of Confidence in Emerging Market Economies to the World Economy: A Simulation with the G-Cubed Model. Published in: Kajian Ekonomi dan Keuangan , Vol. 1, No. 3 (26 January 2018): pp. 143-164.

Mansur, Alfan (2014): The Impacts of the United States Fiscal Deficit Reduction to the World Economy.

Mendonca, Gui Pedro (2008): Structural Breaks, Regime Change and Asymmetric Adjustment: A Short and Long Run Global Approach to the Output/Unemployment Dynamics.

Moayedi, Vafa (2012): Detecting Islamic Calendar Effects on U.S. Meat Consumption: Is the Muslim Population Larger than Widely Assumed?

Mohajan, Devajit and Mohajan, Haradhan (2023): A Study on Nonlinear Budget Constraint of a Local Industrial Firm of Bangladesh: A Profit Maximization Investigation. Published in: Law and Economy , Vol. 2, No. 5 (12 May 2023): pp. 27-33.

Mourinho Félix, Ricardo (2005): A macroeconomic structural model for the Portuguese economy. Published in: Working Paper Series No. 13-05 (25 November 2005)

NYONI, THABANI and MUCHINGAMI, LOVEMORE (2019): Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) dynamics in India: what do ARIMA models tell us?

Nuno Barrau, Galo (2008): Schumpeterian Foundations of Real Business Cycles.

Olkhov, Victor (2024): Lower bounds of uncertainty and upper limits on the accuracy of forecasts of macroeconomic variables.

Pakos, Michal (2013): Long-Run Risk and Hidden Growth Persistence. Published in: Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control , Vol. 37, No. 9 (1 September 2013): pp. 1911-1928.

Papadopoulos, Georgios (2018): Income inequality, consumption, credit and credit risk in a data-driven agent-based model.

Papadopoulos, Georgios (2020): Probing the mechanism: lending rate setting in a data-driven agent-based model.

Pincheira, Pablo (2017): A Power Booster Factor for Out-of-Sample Tests of Predictability.

Pincheira, Pablo and Hernández, Ana María (2019): Forecasting Unemployment Rates with International Factors.

Rude, Johanna (2024): Income Inequality and Aggregate Demand.

Rude, Johanna and Weber, Lukas (2024): Is Baumol's Cost Disease Really a Disease? Healthcare Expenditure and Factor Reallocation.

Rybacki, Jakub and Gniazdowski, Michał (2021): Macroeconomic Forecasting in Poland: Lessons From the COVID-19 Outbreak.

Sabaj, Ernil and Kahveci, Mustafa (2018): Forecasting tax revenues in an emerging economy: The case of Albania.

Sakib, Mohammad Nazmus and pande, Saikat and kumar, Rimon and Arif, Dr. Kazi mostafa (2021): Chinese Foreign Direct Investment and Economic Growth of Bangladesh: A VECM Analysis.

Salamaliki, Paraskevi (2019): Assessing labor market conditions in Greece: a note.

Samaranayake, D.I.J. and Dayaratna-Banda, O.G. (2019): Underemployment and Shadow Economy; Is There a Structural Relationship? A Lab-Experimental Test.

Shvets, Serhii (2019): Parametric early warning system model for Ukraine. Published in: Social transformations of the national economy in the context of European integration processes No. Monograph (2019): pp. 182-190.

Skribans, Valerijs (2011): Development of System Dynamic Model of Latvia’s Economic Integration in the EU. Published in: Proceedings of the 29th International Conference of the System Dynamics Society (2011): pp. 1-16.

Skribans, Valerijs (2012): European Union Economy System Dynamic Model Development. Published in: Proceedings of the 30th International Conference of the System Dynamics Society (2012): pp. 3687-3697.

Skribans, Valerijs (2010): Investments model development with the system dynamic method. Published in: Social Research, Economics and Management: Current Issues and Perspectives , Vol. 2 (18), (2010): pp. 104-114.

Skribans, Valerijs (2010): Latvia’s incoming in European Union economic effect estimation. Published in: BUSINESS, MANAGEMENT AND EDUCATION 2010 No. Contemporary Regional Issues Conference Proceedings (2010)

Song, Edward (2014): Economic Science: From the Ideal Gas Law Economy to Piketty and Beyond.

Takumah, Wisdom (2021): Effects of government spending on consumption Dynamics.

Tombolo, Guilherme Alexandre and Hasegawa, Marcos Minoru (2014): Okun's law: evidence for the Brazilian economy. Published in: The Economic Research Guardian , Vol. 4, No. 1 (19 May 2014): pp. 2-12.

Toro Gonzalez, Daniel (2014): Demand Model Simulation in R with Endogenous Prices and Unobservable Quality.

Tursoy, Turgut (2013): Structural Modelling for North Cyprus’ Economic Growth.

Tweneboah Senzu, Emmanuel (2016): Catallactics misapplication: It’s crucial role in Africa’s underdeveloped Economy- Revised Edition Vol. 1.

Tóth, Peter (2017): Nowcasting Slovak GDP by a Small Dynamic Factor Model. Forthcoming in: Ekonomický časopis / Journal of Economics , Vol. 65, No. 2 (2017)

Vassilev, Zlatan (2007): Evaluating the Financial Position and Performance of a typical Dairy Farm in Bulgaria.

Vonnegut, Andrew (2009): Institutions and initial conditions in transition: reconciling neo-institutional and neo-classical conceptions.

Vîntu, Denis and Negotei, Ioana-Alina (2018): Analysis of Financial Stability: The Construction of a New Composite Financial Stability Index for Euro Area. Published in: Ovidius University Annals Economic Sciences Series , Vol. XVIII, No. 1 (July 2018): pp. 264-270.

Wu, Cheng (2016): Economics and How Obama Could Have Lost the 2016 Election Too.

Şen, Hüseyin and Kaya, Ayşe (2015): Growth enhancing effect of discretionary fiscal policy shocks: Keynesian, Weak Keynesian or Non-Keynesian?

French

Azzouzi, asmae and Bousselhamia, Ahmed (2019): IMPACT DES VARIATIONS DU TAUX DE CHANGE REEL SUR L'ECONOMIE MAROCAINE : UNE APPROCHE SVAR A DES RESTRICTIONS DE SIGNES.

Laye, LATIF and Laye, OUMY and Laye, DIAMA (2007): Stabilité de la structure des coefficients techniques: Approche par un estimateur hybride.

Slim, Sadri (2007): Construction d’un modèle macroéconomique keynésien avec économie informelle: un exercice de simulation.

German

Bartsch, Klaus and Hein, Eckhard and Truger, Achim (2001): Zur Interdependenz von Geld- und Lohnpolitik: Makroökonometrische Ex-post und Ex-ante Simulationen verschiedener Szenarien für die Bundesrepublik Deutschland. Published in: WSI Diskussionspapiere No. 100

Breiding, Torsten (2006): Die Arbeitslosenversicherung in Deutschland – Beitrag zur Bekämpfung oder Ursache von Arbeitslosigkeit.

Indonesian

purba, martin and Nababan, Ade (2019): PERAMALAN PASAR BARANG DAN PASAR UANG YANG TERJADI DI INDONESIA KAJIAN PADA MODEL MUNDELL-FLEMING. Published in: Journal Of Economics and Business , Vol. 1, No. 1 (September 2019): pp. 92-103.

Latvian

Skribans, Valerijs (2010): Darbaspēka migrācijas ietekme uz darba tirgu Latvijā. Published in: LU raksti , Vol. 758, (2010): pp. 189-200.

Skribans, Valerijs (2009): Krīzes un 2009. gada nodokļu politikas izmaiņu ietekme uz Latvijas ekonomiku. Published in: LU raksti No. 743. sējums (2009): pp. 189-200.

Skribans, Valerijs (2010): Latvijas iestāšanās Eiropas Savienībā ekonomiskā efekta novērtēšana. Published in: RTU zinātniskie raksti , Vol. 20, No. 3: Ekonomika un uzņēmējdarbiba (2010): pp. 108-116.

Skribans, Valerijs (2009): Nodokļu ieņēmumu modelēšana, izmantojot sistēmdinamikas metodi. Published in: 50th International Scientific Conference of Riga Technical University: RTU FEEM Scientific Conference on Economics and Entrepreneurship (SCEE’2009). - Conference Proceedings (2009): pp. 474-481.

Polish

Filip, Marcin (2012): Gospodarcze efekty organizacji we Wrocławiu Mistrzostw Europy w piłce nożnej UEFA EURO 2012™.

Portuguese

Moniz, António (2007): Futuros da indústria automóvel: Qual a sua importância para a definição do produto, modelos de produção e estratégias de mobilidade? Published in: Actas dos ateliers do Vº Congresso Português de Sociologia (May 2004): pp. 1-11.

Romanian

Corbu, Ion (2023): Decizia, factor determinant în procesele manageriale și în activitatea de cercetare. Published in: https://www.academia.edu/101585174/Decizia_factor_determinant_%C3%AEn_procesele_manageriale_%C8%99i_%C3%AEn_activitatea_de_cercetare (11 May 2023)

TOACĂ, Zinovia and Vîntu, Denis (2019): Model trimestrial de Prognoză a PIB-ului Republicii Moldova. Published in: International Conference on Theoretical and Applied Economic Practices „Economic Growth in Conditions of Globalization: welfare and social inclusion” , Vol. I, No. The 14th Edition (November 2019): pp. 68-77.

Russian

Kaluzhsky, Mikhail (2013): Институциональная интерпретация экономических циклов. Published in: Восемнадцатые Апрельские экономические чтения: Материалы международной научно-практической конференции. (2013): pp. 94-97.

Polbin, Andrey and Fokin, Nikita (2017): К вопросу о долгосрочной взаимосвязи реального потребления домохозяйств с реальным доходом в РФ. Published in: Russia Economic Development , Vol. 24, No. 10 (November 2017): pp. 6-16.

Skribans, Valerijs (2009): Влияние Трудовой Эмиграции на Рынок Труда в Латвии. Published in: Economics and Management: Current Issues and Perspectives , Vol. 15, No. 2 (19 November 2009): pp. 250-258.

Skrypnik, Dmitriy (2016): BUDGET POLICY AND ECONOMIC GROWTH IN RUSSIA. OPTIMAL BUDGET RULE.

Шевченко, Елена and Стукач, Виктор (2016): Форсайт: инструмент исследования, основа формирования государ-ственной стратегии.

Slovak

Tóth, Peter (2014): Malý dynamický faktorový model na krátkodobé prognózovanie slovenského HDP.

Spanish

Acuña, Andrés (2006): Desempleo y Actividad Económica Regional: Un Enfoque Cíclico. Published in: Taller de Empleo Regional , Vol. 23, (March 2006): pp. 14-47.

Acuña, Guillermo (2017): Evaluación de la capacidad predictiva del índice de percepción del consumidor.

González, Manuel (2004): La Curva de Retorno y el Modelo C-CAPM: Evidencia para Chile.

Pegnalver, Domingo (2013): Análisis del impacto social de las inversiones públicas en infraestructuras. La huella social.

Ukrainian

Filippova, Irina and Sumcov, Victor (2011): ІНФЛЯЦІЯ І ПЕРЕРОЗПОДІЛ ДОХОДУ В УКРАЇНІ. Published in: Часопис економічних реформ No. 3 (2011): pp. 10-17.