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Munich Personal RePEc Archive

Items where Subject is "C53 - Forecasting and Prediction Methods ; Simulation Methods"

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Number of items at this level: 855.

Arabic

CHIKHI, Mohamed and Benguesmi, Tarek (2013): تحليل سلوك مبيعات الكهرباء الموجه للقطاع العائلي في ظل وجود التقلبات الموسمية باستخدام نماذج SARIMA.

Azerbaijani

Mehdiyev, Mehdi and Ahmadov, Vugar and Huseynov, Salman and Mammadov, Fuad (2015): Ölkə iqtisadiyyatı üzrə göstəricilərin modelləşdirilməsi və proqnozlaşdırılması: problemlər və praktiki çətinliklər.

English

AMMOURI, Bilel and TOUMI, Hassen and ISSAOUI, Fakhri and ZITOUNA, Habib (2015): Forecasting Inflation in Tunisia into instability: Using Dynamic Factors Model a two-step based on Kalman filtering.

Abdullah, Muhammad and Gul, Zarro and Waseem, Faiza and Islam, Tanweer (2021): The State of Pakistan’s Economy and the Ineffectiveness of Monetary Policy.

Abounoori, Abbas Ali and Naderi, Esmaeil and Gandali Alikhani, Nadiya and Amiri, Ashkan (2013): Financial Time Series Forecasting by Developing a Hybrid Intelligent System. Published in: European Journal of Scientific Research , Vol. 98, No. 4 (4 March 2013): pp. 10-20.

Abounoori, Abbas Ali and Naderi, Esmaeil and Gandali Alikhani, Nadiya and Amiri, Ashkan (2013): Financial Time Series Forecasting by Developing a Hybrid Intelligent System. Published in: European Journal of Scientific Research , Vol. 98, No. 4 (4 March 2013): pp. 529-541.

Adekunle, Wasiu and Bekoe, William and Badmus, Sheriff and Anagun, Michael and Alimi, Wasiu (2021): Nexus Between Fiscal Discipline And The Budget Process In Africa: Evidence From Nigeria.

Adeniyi, Isaac Adeola (2020): Bayesian Generalized Linear Mixed Effects Models Using Normal-Independent Distributions: Formulation and Applications. Forthcoming in: AStA-Advances in Statistical Analysis

Ahec Šonje, Amina and Katarina, Bacic (2006): A composite leading indicator for a small transition economy: the case of Croatia.

Ahmadzadeh Mashinchi, Sina (2010): The impact of the global economic crisis on non-oil operations of ports in Iran. Published in: Middle East Journal of Scientific Research (ISI Indexed) , Vol. 9, No. 5 (15 November 2011): pp. 596-601.

Ahoniemi, Katja and Lanne, Markku (2007): Joint Modeling of Call and Put Implied Volatility. Published in:

Ahumada, Hildegart and Espina, Santos and Navajas, Fernando H. (2020): COVID-19 with uncertain phases: estimation issues with an illustration for Argentina.

Aknouche, Abdelhakim and Gouveia, Sonia and Scotto, Manuel (2023): Random multiplication versus random sum: auto-regressive-like models with integer-valued random inputs.

Aknouche, Abdelhakim and Dimitrakopoulos, Stefanos (2020): On an integer-valued stochastic intensity model for time series of counts.

Aknouche, Abdelhakim and Francq, Christian (2019): Two-stage weighted least squares estimator of the conditional mean of observation-driven time series models.

Albers, Scott (2013): Foundations of the economic and social history of the United States: Apologia.

Albers, Scott (2013): Foundations of the economic and social history of the United States: Metaphysical.

Albers, Scott (2012): Predicting crises: Five essays on the mathematic prediction of economic and social crises. Published in: Middle East Studies On-line Journal , Vol. Volume, No. Issue 6 (8 August 2011): pp. 199-253.

Albers, Scott and Albers, Andrew L. (2013): Does “Okun’s Law” state a Pi:1 ratio? Toward a harmonic interpretation of why Okun’s Law works.

Albers, Scott and Albers, Andrew L. (2011): The Golden Mean, the Arab Spring and a 10-step analysis of American economic history. Published in: The Middle East Studies Online Journal , Vol. 3, No. 6 (3 August 2011): pp. 199-253.

Albers, Scott and Albers, Andrew L. (2012): On the mathematic prediction of economic and social crises: toward a harmonic interpretation of the Kondratiev wave.

Albu, Lucian-Liviu (2003): Estimating contribution of factors to long-term growth in Romania. Published in: Revue Roumaine des Sciences Economiques , Vol. 48, No. 2 : pp. 197-206.

Albu, Lucian-Liviu and Roudoi, Andrei (2003): Scenarios of economic development in Romania - medium to long-term forecasting models. Published in: Romanian Journal of Economic Forecasting , Vol. 4, No. 5 (December 2003): pp. 64-77.

Albulescu, Claudiu Tiberiu (2009): Forecasting credit growth rate in Romania: from credit boom to credit crunch?

Aliyu, Shehu Usman Rano and Aminu, Abubakar Wambai (2018): Economic regimes and stock market performance in Nigeria: Evidence from regime switching model.

Alper, C. Emre and Fendoglu, Salih and Saltoglu, Burak (2008): Forecasting Stock Market Volatilities Using MIDAS Regressions: An Application to the Emerging Markets.

Amiri, Arshia and Bakhshoodeh, Mohamad and Najafi, Bahaeddin (2011): Forecasting seasonality in prices of potatoes and onions: challenge between geostatistical models, neuro fuzzy approach and Winter method.

Amiri, Arshia and Ventelou, Bruno (2011): Forecasting the role of public expenditure in economic growth Using DEA-neural network approach.

Anastasiou, Dimitris and Drakos, Konstantinos and Kapopoulos, Panayotis (2022): Predicting international tourist arrivals in Greece with a novel sector-specific business leading indicator.

Andres, Antonio Rodriguez and Otero, Abraham and Amavilah, Voxi Heinrich (2021): Evaluation of technology clubs by clustering: A cautionary note. Forthcoming in: Applied Economics (2021)

Andres, Antonio Rodriguez and Otero, Abraham and Amavilah, Voxi Heinrich (2021): Using Deep Learning Neural Networks to Predict the Knowledge Economy Index for Developing and Emerging Economies. Published in: Expert Systems with Applications , Vol. 184, No. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.eswa.2021.115514 (1 December 2021)

Andrianady, Josué R. (2023): Crunching the Numbers: A Comparison of Econometric Models for GDP Forecasting in Madagascar.

Andrianady, Josué R. (2023): Comparing Econometric Models for Forecasting GDP in Madagascar.

Andriantomanga, Zo (2023): The role of survey-based expectations in real-time forecasting of US inflation.

Andrle, Michal (2008): The Role of Trends and Detrending in DSGE Models.

Angelidis, Timotheos and Benos, Alexandros and Degiannakis, Stavros (2007): A Robust VaR Model under Different Time Periods and Weighting Schemes. Published in: Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting , Vol. 2, No. 28 (2007): pp. 187-201.

Angelidis, Timotheos and Benos, Alexandros and Degiannakis, Stavros (2004): The Use of GARCH Models in VaR Estimation. Published in: Statistical Methodology , Vol. 2, No. 1 (2004): pp. 105-128.

Angelidis, Timotheos and Degiannakis, Stavros (2005): Modeling Risk for Long and Short Trading Positions. Published in: Journal of Risk Finance , Vol. 3, No. 6 (2005): pp. 226-238.

Angelidis, Timotheos and Degiannakis, Stavros (2008): Volatility forecasting: Intra-day versus inter-day models. Published in: Journal of International Financial Markets Institutions and Money No. 18 (2008): pp. 449-465.

Angelidis, Timotheos and Degiannakis, Stavros (2008): Volatility forecasting: intra-day vs. inter-day models. Published in: Journal of International Financial Markets Institutions and Money No. 18 (2008): pp. 449-465.

Ardakani, Omid and Kishor, N. Kundan (2014): Examining the Success of the Central Banks in Inflation Targeting Countries: The Dynamics of Inflation Gap and the Institutional Characteristics.

Ardia, David and Dufays, Arnaud and Ordás Criado, Carlos (2023): Linking Frequentist and Bayesian Change-Point Methods.

Ardic, Oya Pinar and Ergin, Onur and Senol, G. Bahar (2008): Exchange Rate Forecasting: Evidence from the Emerging Central and Eastern European Economies.

Ari, Ali (2008): An Early Warning Signals Approach for Currency Crises: The Turkish Case.

Armstrong, J. Scott (1978): Forecasting with Econometric Methods: Folklore Versus Fact. Published in: Journal of Business No. 51 (1978): pp. 549-564.

Armstrong, J. Scott (1988): Review of Ravi Batra, The Great Depression of 1990. Published in: International Journal of Forecasting No. 4 (1988): pp. 493-495.

Armstrong, J. Scott (1983): Strategic Planning and Forecasting Fundamentals.

Armstrong, J. Scott and Brodie, Roderick J. (1999): Forecasting for Marketing. Published in: Quantitative Methods in Marketing : pp. 92-120.

Armstrong, J. Scott and C., Michael (1972): A Comparative Study of Methods for Long-Range Market Forecasting. Published in: Management Science No. 19 (1972): pp. 211-221.

Armstrong, J. Scott and Graefe, Andreas (2009): Predicting Elections from Biographical Information about Candidates.

Armstrong, J. Scott and Green, Kesten C. and Jones, Randall J. and Wright, Malcolm (2008): Predicting elections from politicians’ faces.

Armstrong, J. Scott and Green, Kesten C. and Soon, Willie (2007): Polar Bear Population Forecasts: A Public-Policy Forecasting Audit.

Arnold, Rob (2023): Uniform Confidence/Certainty Estimation.

Arnold Cote, K. Nicole and Smith, Wm. Doyle and Fullerton, Thomas M., Jr. (2010): Municipal Non-Residential Real Property Valuation Forecast Accuracy. Published in: International Journal of Business & Economics Perspectives , Vol. 6, No. 1 (22 March 2011): pp. 56-77.

Arora, Vipin (2013): Comparisons of Chinese and Indian Energy Consumption Forecasting Models.

Asante Gyamerah, Samuel and Ngare, Philip and Ikpe, Dennis (2018): A Levy Regime-Switching Temperature Dynamics Model for Weather Derivatives. Published in: International Journal of Stochastic Analysis , Vol. 2018, No. 8534131 (10 June 2018): pp. 1-16.

Asongu, Simplice (2014): On foreign aid distortions to governance.

Asongu, Simplice and Nnanna, Joseph (2019): Foreign aid, instability and governance in Africa. Published in: Politics & Policy , Vol. 44, No. 4 (August 2019): pp. 807-848.

Asongu, Simplice and Nwachukwu, Jacinta (2016): Is the Threat of Foreign Aid Withdrawal an Effective Deterrent to Political Oppression? Evidence from 53 African Countries. Forthcoming in: Journal of Economic Issues

Asongu, Simplice A and Nwachukwu, Jacinta C. (2015): Foreign aid instability and bundled governance dynamics in Africa.

Athanasopoulos, George and Hyndman, Rob J. and Kourentzes, Nikolaos and Petropoulos, Fotios (2015): Forecasting with Temporal Hierarchies.

Ayub, Mehar (1998): A simulation model of corporate finances: A study of the companies listed on Karachi stock exchange. Published in: Conference Proceedings, International Institute of Forecasting, Georgia Institute of Technology, Atlanta (2001) , Vol. 1, No. 2001 (2001): pp. 1-55.

BLINOV, Sergey (2017): Economic Forecasting Based on the Relationship between GDP and Real Money Supply.

Bakker, Bas and Ghazanchyan, Manuk and Ho, Alex and Nanda, Vibha (2020): The Lack of Convergence of Latin-America Compared with CESEE: Is Low Investment to Blame?

Balli, Faruk and Elsamadisy, Elsayed (2010): Modelling the Currency in Circulation for the State of Qatar.

Bandyopadhyay, Arindam (2007): Credit Risk Models for Managing Bank’s Agricultural Loan Portfolio.

Bandyopadhyay, Arindam (2007): Credit Risk Models for Managing Bank’s Agricultural Loan Portfolio.

Barnett, William and Chauvet, Marcelle and Leiva-Leon, Danilo and Su, Liting (2016): Nowcasting nominal gdp with the credit-card augmented Divisia monetary aggregates.

Barnett, William and Chauvet, Marcelle and Leiva-Leon, Danilo and Su, Liting (2016): The credit-card-services augmented Divisia monetary aggregates.

Barnett, William and Ghosh, Taniya (2013): Bifurcation Analysis of an Endogenous Growth Model.

Barnett, William and Park, Sohee (2021): Forecasting Inflation and Output Growth with Credit-Card-Augmented Divisia Monetary Aggregates.

Barnett, William and Su, Liting (2016): Risk adjustment of the credit-card augmented Divisia monetary aggregates.

Bartolucci, Francesco and Pennoni, Fulvia and Vittadini, Giorgio (2015): Causal latent Markov model for the comparison of multiple treatments in observational longitudinal studies.

Bastianin, Andrea and Galeotti, Marzio and Manera, Matteo (2016): Statistical and Economic Evaluation of Time Series Models for Forecasting Arrivals at Call Centers.

Bastos, João A. (2019): Forecasting the capacity of mobile networks. Forthcoming in: Telecommunication Systems

Bazhenov, Timofey and Fantazzini, Dean (2019): Forecasting Realized Volatility of Russian stocks using Google Trends and Implied Volatility. Published in: Russian Journal of Industrial Economics , Vol. 1, No. 12 (2019): pp. 79-88.

Beja Jr., Edsel (2014): Income growth and happiness: Reassessment of the Easterlin Paradox.

Beneki, Christina and Eeckels, Bruno and Leon, Costas (2009): Signal Extraction and Forecasting of the UK Tourism Income Time Series. A Singular Spectrum Analysis Approach.

Benkovskis, Konstantins (2005): Econometric analysis and forecasting of Latvia's balance of payments.

Bentour, El Mostafa (2013): Oil prices, drought periods and growth forecasts in Morocco. Published in: International Journal of Economics and Management Science , Vol. 3, No. 1 (22 February 2014): pp. 1-12.

Bentour, El Mostafa (2015): A ranking of VAR and structural models in forecasting.

Berg, Tim Oliver (2015): Multivariate Forecasting with BVARs and DSGE Models.

Bersimis, Sotirios and Degiannakis, Stavros and Georgakellos, Dimitrios (2017): Real Time Monitoring of Carbon Monoxide Using Value-at-Risk Measure and Control Charting. Published in: Journal of Applied Statistics , Vol. 1, No. 44 (2017): pp. 89-118.

Berster, Peter and Gelhausen, Marc Christopher and Wilken, Dieter (2009): Business Aviation in Germany: An empirical and model-based analysis. Published in: Proceedings of the 13th Air Transport Research Society (ATRS) World Conference 2009 in Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates (2009): pp. 1-19.

Bespalova, Olga (2018): Forecast Evaluation in Macroeconomics and International Finance. Ph.D. thesis, George Washington University, Washington, DC, USA.

Bessler, David and Kibriya, Shahriar and Chen, Junyi and Price, Ed (2014): On Forecasting Conflict in Sudan: 2009-2012.

Bessonovs, Andrejs (2011): GDP Modelling with Factor Model: an Impact of Nested Data on Forecasting Accuracy.

Bezemer, Dirk J (2009): “No One Saw This Coming”: Understanding Financial Crisis Through Accounting Models.

Bhadury, Soumya and Ghosh, Saurabh and Gopalakrishnan, Pawan (2021): In quest for policy 'silver bullets' towards triggering a v-shaped recovery.

Bhadury, Soumya and Ghosh, Saurabh and Kumar, Pankaj (2019): Nowcasting GDP Growth Using a Coincident Economic Indicator for India.

Bhatt, Vipul and Kishor, Kundan and Marfatia, Hardik (2017): Estimating excess sensitivity and habit persistence in consumption using Greenbook forecast as an instrument.

Bianchi, Carlo and Brillet, Jean-Louis and Calzolari, Giorgio (1985): Effectiveness versus reliability of policy actions under government budget constraint: the case of France.

Bianchi, Carlo and Brillet, Jean-Louis and Calzolari, Giorgio (1986): Forecasts and constraints on policy actions: the reliability of alternative instruments.

Bianchi, Carlo and Brillet, Jean-Louis and Calzolari, Giorgio (1988): A trade-off criterion for evaluating effectiveness and reliability of alternative policy actions. Published in: Atti del Dodicesimo Convegno A.M.A.S.E.S. No. Palermo, 14-16 Settembre 1988 (14 September 1988): pp. 185-217.

Bianchi, Carlo and Brillet, Jean-Louis and Calzolari, Giorgio and Panattoni, Lorenzo (1987): Forecast variance in simultaneous equation models: analytic and Monte Carlo methods. Published in: INSEE, Paris, France No. Paper presented at the Seminaire d'Econometrie de Malinvaud (February 1987): pp. 1-19.

Bianchi, Carlo and Calzolari, Giorgio (1982): Evaluating forecast uncertainty due to errors in estimated coefficients: empirical comparison of alternative methods. Published in: Evaluating the reliability of macro-economic models No. Ed. by G.C.Chow and P.Corsi, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. (1982): pp. 251-277.

Bianchi, Carlo and Calzolari, Giorgio (1979): Simulation of a nonlinear econometric model. Published in: Simulation of Systems '79, ed. by L. Dekker, G. Savastano, and G. C. Vansteenkiste (1980): pp. 105-113.

Bianchi, Carlo and Calzolari, Giorgio (1983): Standard errors of forecasts in dynamic simulation of nonlinear econometric models: some empirical results. Published in: Time Series Analysis: Theory and Practice, ed. by O.D.Anderson No. Amsterdam: North Holland (1983): pp. 177-198.

Bianchi, Carlo and Calzolari, Giorgio and Cleur, Eugene M. (1978): Spectral analysis of stochastic and analytic simulation results for a nonlinear model for the Italian economy. Published in: Compstat 1978, Proceedings in Computational Statistics No. Ed. by L. C. A. Corsten, and J. Hermans. Vienna: Physica Verlag (1978): pp. 348-354.

Bianchi, Carlo and Calzolari, Giorgio and Cleur, Eugene M. and Gambetta, Guido and Stagni, Anna and Sterbenz, Frederic (1978): Stochastic simulation and dynamic properties of the new version of the Italian model.

Bianchi, Carlo and Calzolari, Giorgio and Corsi, Paolo (1976): Monte Carlo methods in econometrics: a package for the stochastic simulation. Published in: Paper presented at the Congres Europeen des Statisticiens. Universite Scientifique et Medicale de Grenoble, (September 1976): pp. 1-10.

Bianchi, Carlo and Calzolari, Giorgio and Corsi, Paolo (1979): On the restricted reduced form of the Klein-I model: revised computations to complete "A note on the numerical results by Goldberger, Nagar and Odeh", Econometrica, 47 (1979). Published in: IBM Italy Technical Report No. G513-3575 (May 1979): pp. 1-17.

Bianchi, Carlo and Calzolari, Giorgio and Corsi, Paolo (1976): Simulation properties of alternative methods of estimation: an application to a model of the Italian economy. Published in: Compstat 1976, Proceedings in Computational Statistics No. Ed. by J. Gordesch, and P. Naeve. Vienna: Physica Verlag (1976): pp. 407-415.

Bianchi, Carlo and Calzolari, Giorgio and Corsi, Paolo (1979): Some results on the stochastic simulation of a nonlinear model of the Italian economy. Published in: Models and Decision Making in National Economies No. ed. by J. M. L. Janssen, L. F. Pau, and A. Straszak. Amsterdam: North-Holland (1979): pp. 411-418.

Bianchi, Carlo and Calzolari, Giorgio and Corsi, Paolo (1981): Standard errors of multipliers and forecasts from structural coefficients with block-diagonal covariance matrix. Published in: Dynamic Modelling and Control of National Economies (IFAC) No. Ed. by J. M. L. Janssen, L. F. Pau, and A. J. Straszak. Oxford: Pergamon Press (1981): pp. 311-316.

Bianchi, Carlo and Calzolari, Giorgio and Corsi, Paolo (1979): A package for analytic simulation of econometric models. Published in: Optimization Techniques: Proceedings of the 9th IFIP Conference on Optimization Techniques. Warsaw, September 4-8, 1979 (September 1980): pp. 404-413.

Bianchi, Carlo and Calzolari, Giorgio and Weihs, Claus (1986): Parametric and nonparametric Monte Carlo estimates of standard errors of forecasts in econometric models.

Bilgili, Faik and Doğan, İbrahim and H. Tülüce, Nadide and Kuşkaya, Sevda (2014): The impact of biomass, geothermal and hydroelectric energy consumption on industrial production: A threshold cointegration model with regime shifts.

Bisio, Laura and Moauro, Filippo (2017): Temporal disaggregation by dynamic regressions: recent developments in Italian quarterly national accounts. Forthcoming in: Statistica Neerlandica

Boer, Lukas and Pescatori, Andrea and Stuermer, Martin (2021): Energy Transition Metals.

Bonga-Bonga, Lumengo and Mwamba, Muteba (2015): A multivariate model for the prediction of stock returns in an emerging market: A comparison of parametric and non-parametric models.

Bonino-Gayoso, Nicolás and García-Hiernaux, Alfredo (2019): TF-MIDAS: a new mixed-frequency model to forecast macroeconomic variables.

Bovi, Maurizio (2019): A Time-Varying Expectations Formation Mechanism. Published in: Economia Politica No. 4 (December 2019)

Bradrania, Reza and Pirayesh Neghab, Davood (2021): State-dependent asset allocation using neural networks. Published in: European Journal of Finance , Vol. 28, No. 11 (12 August 2021): pp. 1130-1156.

Brahmana, Rayenda Khresna (2022): Do Machine Learning Approaches Have the Same Accuracy in Forecasting Cryptocurrencies Volatilities?

Branimir, Jovanovic and Magdalena, Petrovska (2010): Forecasting Macedonian GDP: Evaluation of different models for short-term forecasting. Published in: National Bank of the Republic of Macedonia Working Paper (August 2010)

Breitenstein, Miriam and Anke, Carl-Philipp and Nguyen, Duc Khuong and Walther, Thomas (2019): Stranded Asset Risk and Political Uncertainty: The Impact of the Coal Phase-out on the German Coal Industry.

Brkic, Sabina and Hodzic, Migdat and Dzanic, Enis (2017): Fuzzy Logic Model of Soft Data Analysis for Corporate Client Credit Risk Assessment in Commercial Banking. Forthcoming in: Fifth Scientific Conference with International Participation “Economy of Integration” ICEI 2017 (December 2017)

Brkic, Sabina and Hodzic, Migdat and Dzanic, Enis (2018): Soft Data Modeling via Type 2 Fuzzy Distributions for Corporate Credit Risk Assessment in Commercial Banking. Forthcoming in:

Bruno, Giancarlo (2012): Consumer confidence and consumption forecast: a non-parametric approach.

Bruno, Giancarlo (2008): Forecasting Using Functional Coefficients Autoregressive Models.

Bruno, Giancarlo (2009): Non-linear relation between industrial production and business surveys data.

Bruno, Giancarlo and Lupi, Claudio (2003): Forecasting Euro-Area Industrial Production Using (Mostly) Business Surveys Data.

Bucci, Andrea (2019): Cholesky-ANN models for predicting multivariate realized volatility.

Bucci, Andrea (2017): Forecasting realized volatility: a review.

Bucci, Andrea (2019): Realized Volatility Forecasting with Neural Networks.

Buncic, Daniel (2009): Understanding forecast failure in ESTAR models of real exchange rates.

Buncic, Daniel (2009): Understanding forecast failure of ESTAR models of real exchange rates.

Buncic, Daniel (2008): A note on long horizon forecasts of nonlinear models of real exchange rates: Comments on Rapach and Wohar (2006).

Buss, Ginters (2010): A note on GDP now-/forecasting with dynamic versus static factor models along a business cycle.

Bušs, Ginters (2009): Comparing forecasts of Latvia's GDP using simple seasonal ARIMA models and direct versus indirect approach.

Bušs, Ginters (2009): Economic forecasts with Bayesian autoregressive distributed lag model: choosing optimal prior in economic downturn.

Bušs, Ginters (2010): Forecasts with single-equation Markov-switching model: an application to the gross domestic product of Latvia.

Byrne, Joseph P and Korobilis, Dimitris and Ribeiro, Pinho J (2014): Exchange Rate Predictability in a Changing World.

Byrne, Joseph P and Korobilis, Dimitris and Ribeiro, Pinho J (2014): On the Sources of Uncertainty in Exchange Rate Predictability.

Bystrov, Victor (2013): A factor-augemented model of markup on mortgage loans in Poland.

CERQUA, AUGUSTO and LETTA, MARCO (2020): Local economies amidst the COVID-19 crisis in Italy: a tale of diverging trajectories.

Cadogan, Godfrey (2010): Forecasting The Pricing Kernel of IBNR Claims Development In Property-Casualty Insurance.

Cadogan, Godfrey (2010): Modeling And Forecasting Imported Japanese Parts Content Of US Transplants: An Error Correction And State Space Approach.

Caiado, Jorge (2004): Modelling and forecasting the volatility of the portuguese stock index PSI-20. Published in: Portuguese Journal of Management Studies , Vol. XI, No. Nº1 (2004): pp. 3-21.

Caiado, Jorge (2004): Modelling and forecasting the volatility of the portuguese stock index PSI-20. Published in: Portuguese Journal of Management Studies , Vol. XI, No. Nº1 (2004): pp. 3-21.

Calzolari, Giorgio (1979): Stochastic simulation experiments on Model 5 of Bonn University. Published in: Institut fuer Gesellschafts- u. Wirtschaftswissenschaften der Universitaet Bonn No. 102 (August 1979): pp. 1-28.

Calzolari, Giorgio (1979): The deterministic simulation bias in the Klein-Goldberger model. Published in: Institut fuer Gesellschafts- u. Wirtschaftswissenschaften der Universitaet Bonn No. 100 (July 1979): pp. 1-6.

Caporin, Massimiliano and Fontini, Fulvio (2014): The value of protecting Venice from the acqua alta phenomenon under different local sea level rises.

Caporin, Massimiliano and Kolokolov, Aleksey and Renò, Roberto (2014): Multi-jumps.

Carrasco Gutierrez, Carlos Enrique and Castro Souza, Reinaldo and Teixeira de Carvalho Guillén, Osmani (2009): Selection of Optimal Lag Length in Cointegrated VAR Models with Weak Form of Common Cyclical Features. Published in: Brazilian Review of Econometrics , Vol. 29, No. 1 (2009): pp. 59-78.

Cayton, Peter Julian A. and Mapa, Dennis S. (2012): Time-varying conditional Johnson SU density in value-at-risk (VaR) methodology.

Cazotto, Gabriel (2015): Oil – The Earth’s blood, a paper on how to recover its critical declining prices by using a hedge vaccine through a leading core of countries termed as VIRUS.

Cengiz, Doruk and Tekgüç, Hasan (2022): Counterfactual Reconciliation: Incorporating Aggregation Constraints For More Accurate Causal Effect Estimates.

Cerulli, Giovanni (2020): A Super-Learning Machine for Predicting Economic Outcomes.

Chakraborty, Lekha and Chakraborty, Pinaki and Shrestha, Ruzel (2019): Budget Credibility of Subnational Governments: Analyzing the Fiscal Forecasting Errors of 28 States in India.

Chakraborty, Lekha S and Chowdhury, Samik (2005): Fiscal Marksmanship of Education Expenditure in India: Analyzing Forecast Errors through a Gender lens.

Chan, Tze-Haw and Lye, Chun Teck and Hooy, Chee-Wooi (2010): Forecasting Malaysian Exchange Rate: Do Artificial Neural Networks Work?

Chandan, Sharma and Bhanumurthy, N R (2010): Estimating Infrastructural Investment Needs for India.

Chang, Chia-Lin and Franses, Philip Hans and McAleer, Michael (2013): Are Forecast Updates Progressive?

Chatziantoniou, Ioannis and Degiannakis, Stavros and Delis, Panagiotis and Filis, George (2019): Can spillover effects provide forecasting gains? The case of oil price volatility.

Chatziantoniou, Ioannis and Degiannakis, Stavros and Eeckels, Bruno and Filis, George (2015): Forecasting Tourist Arrivals Using Origin Country Macroeconomics. Forthcoming in: Applied Economics

Chatziantoniou, Ioannis and Degiannakis, Stavros and Filis, George (2019): Futures-based forecasts: How useful are they for oil price volatility forecasting? Published in: Energy Economics No. 81 (2019): pp. 639-649.

Check, Adam J. and Nolan, Anna K. and Schipper, Tyler C. (2018): Forecasting GDP: Do Revisions Matter?

Chen, Nan-Kuang and Chen, Shiu-Sheng and Chou, Yu-Hsi (2013): Further evidence on bear market predictability: The role of the external finance premium.

Chen, Shiu-Sheng (2013): Forecasting Crude Oil Price Movements with Oil-Sensitive Stocks. Forthcoming in:

Chen, Shu-Ling and Jackson, John D. and Kim, Hyeongwoo and Resiandini, Pramesti (2012): What Drives Commodity Prices?

Chen, Song Xi and Lei, Lihua and Tu, Yundong (2014): Functional Coefficient Moving Average Model with Applications to forecasting Chinese CPI. Forthcoming in: Statistica Sinica

Chhorn, Theara and Chaiboonsri, Chukiat (2017): Modelling and Forecasting Tourist Arrivals to Cambodia: An Application of ARIMA-GARCH Approach. Published in: Journal of Management, Economics, and Industrial Organization , Vol. 2, No. 2 (2018): pp. 1-19.

Christian, Mueller-Kademann (2009): Puzzle solver.

Chu, Amanda M.Y. and Lv, Zhihui and Wagner, Niklas F. and Wong, Wing-Keung (2020): Linear and Nonlinear Growth Determinants: The Case of Mongolia and its Connection to China.

Chumacero, Romulo (2007): Altitude or hot air?

Chun, So Yeon and Shapiro, Alexander and Uryasev, Stan (2011): Conditional Value-at-Risk and Average Value-at-Risk: Estimation and Asymptotics. Forthcoming in:

Cipollini, Andrea and Missaglia, Giuseppe (2007): Dynamic Factor analysis of industry sector default rates and implication for Portfolio Credit Risk Modelling.

Cobb, Marcus P A (2017): Aggregate Density Forecasting from Disaggregate Components Using Large VARs.

Cobb, Marcus P A (2017): Forecasting Economic Aggregates Using Dynamic Component Grouping.

Cobb, Marcus P A (2018): Improving Underlying Scenarios for Aggregate Forecasts: A Multi-level Combination Approach.

Cobb, Marcus P A (2017): Joint Forecast Combination of Macroeconomic Aggregates and Their Components.

Coble, David and Pincheira, Pablo (2017): Nowcasting Building Permits with Google Trends.

Cooper, Russel and Madden, Gary G (2008): Estimating components of ICT expenditure: a model-based approach with applicability to short time-series. Published in: Applied Economics , Vol. 10, No. 1 (2008)

Corradini, Riccardo (2018): A set of state space models at an high disaggregation level to forecast Italian Industrial Production.

Courtioux, Pierre (2008): How Income Contingent Loans could affect Return to Higher Education: a microsimulation of the French Case.

D'Agostino, A and Surico, P (2007): Does global liquidity help to forecast US inflation? Forthcoming in:

D'Agostino, A and Whelan, K (2007): Federal Reserve Information During the Great Moderation. Forthcoming in: Journal of the European Economic Association

D'Agostino, Antonello and McQuinn, Kieran and O'Brien, Derry (2011): Nowcasting Irish GDP.

D'Agostino, Antonello and McQuinn, Kieran and Whelan, Karl (2011): Are some forecasters really better than others?

D'Amuri, Francesco and Marcucci, Juri (2009): "Google it!" Forecasting the US unemployment rate with a Google job search index.

Dahem, Ahlem (2015): Short term Bayesian inflation forecasting for Tunisia. Published in: ECOFORUM JOURNAL , Vol. 5, No. 1 (8) (2016)

Danao, Rolando and Ducanes, Geoffrey (2016): An Error Correction Model for Forecasting Philippine Aggregate Electricity Consumption. Forthcoming in: Electricity Policy in the Philippines: Generation, Institutions, and Prices No. Stand-alone book to be published by the University of the Philippine Press (2019)

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Davis, Brent (2017): “Negative Political Advertising: It’s All in the Timing”.

De Pooter, Michiel and Ravazzolo, Francesco and van Dijk, Dick (2006): Predicting the term structure of interest rates incorporating parameter uncertainty, model uncertainty and macroeconomic information.

Degiannakis, Stavros (2008): ARFIMAX and ARFIMAX-TARCH Realized Volatility Modeling. Published in: Journal of Applied Statistics , Vol. 10, No. 35 (2008): pp. 1169-1180.

Degiannakis, Stavros (2004): Forecasting Realized Intra-day Volatility and Value at Risk: Evidence from a Fractional Integrated Asymmetric Power ARCH Skewed-t Model. Published in: Applied Financial Economics No. 14 (2004): pp. 1333-1342.

Degiannakis, Stavros (2008): Forecasting Vix. Published in: Journal of Money, Investment and Banking No. 4 (2008): pp. 5-19.

Degiannakis, Stavros (2015): A Probit Model for the State of the Greek GDP Growth. Published in: International Journal of Financial Studies , Vol. 3, No. 3 (2015): pp. 381-392.

Degiannakis, Stavros (2021): Stock market as a nowcasting indicator for real investment.

Degiannakis, Stavros (2004): Volatility Forecasting: Evidence from a Fractional Integrated Asymmetric Power ARCH Skewed-t Model. Published in: Applied Financial Economics No. 14 (2004): pp. 1333-1342.

Degiannakis, Stavros and Dent, Pamela and Floros, Christos (2014): A Monte Carlo Simulation Approach to Forecasting Multi-period Value-at-Risk and Expected Shortfall Using the FIGARCH-skT Specification. Published in: The Manchester School , Vol. 1, No. 82 (2014): pp. 71-102.

Degiannakis, Stavros and Filis, George (2019): Forecasting European Economic Policy Uncertainty. Published in: Scottish Journal of Political Economy , Vol. 1, No. 66 (February 2019): pp. 94-114.

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Degiannakis, Stavros and Filis, George (2016): Forecasting oil price realized volatility: A new approach.

Degiannakis, Stavros and Filis, George (2018): Forecasting oil prices.

Degiannakis, Stavros and Filis, George (2020): Oil price assumptions for macroeconomic policy.

Degiannakis, Stavros and Filis, George (2019): Oil price volatility forecasts: What do investors need to know?

Degiannakis, Stavros and Filis, George and Hassani, Hossein (2015): Forecasting global stock market implied volatility indices. Published in: Journal of Empirical Finance No. 46 (2018): pp. 111-129.

Degiannakis, Stavros and Filis, George and Klein, Tony and Walther, Thomas (2019): Forecasting Realized Volatility of Agricultural Commodities. Forthcoming in: International Journal of Forecasting

Degiannakis, Stavros and Filis, George and Palaiodimos, George (2015): Investments and uncertainty revisited: The case of the US economy.

Degiannakis, Stavros and Floros, Christos (2013): Modeling CAC40 Volatility Using Ultra-high Frequency Data. Published in: Research in International Business and Finance No. 28 (2013): pp. 68-81.

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Degiannakis, Stavros and Floros, Christos and Dent, Pamela (2013): Forecasting Value-at-Risk and Expected Shortfall using Fractionally Integrated Models of Conditional Volatility: International Evidence. Published in: International Review of Financial Analysis No. 27 (2013): pp. 21-33.

Degiannakis, Stavros and Livada, Alexandra (2016): Evaluation of Realized Volatility Predictions from Models with Leptokurtically and Asymmetrically Distributed Forecast Errors. Published in: Journal of Applied Statistics , Vol. 5, No. 43 (2016): pp. 871-892.

Degiannakis, Stavros and Livada, Alexandra (2013): Realized Volatility or Price Range: Evidence from a discrete simulation of the continuous time diffusion process. Published in: Economic Modelling No. 30 (2013): pp. 212-216.

Degiannakis, Stavros and Livada, Alexandra (2013): Realized Volatility or Price Range: Evidence from a discrete simulation of the continuous time diffusion process. Published in: Economic Modelling No. 30 (2013): pp. 212-216.

Degiannakis, Stavros and Livada, Alexandra and Panas, Epaminondas (2008): Rolling-sampled parameters of ARCH and Levy-stable models. Published in: Applied Economics , Vol. 23, No. 40 (2008): pp. 3051-3067.

Degiannakis, Stavros and Potamia, Artemis (2017): Multiple-days-ahead value-at-risk and expected shortfall forecasting for stock indices, commodities and exchange rates: inter-day versus intra-day data. Published in: International Review of Financial Analysis No. 49 (2017): pp. 176-190.

Degiannakis, Stavros and Xekalaki, Evdokia (2007): Assessing the Performance of a Prediction Error Criterion Model Selection Algorithm in the Context of ARCH Models. Published in: Applied Financial Economics No. 17 (2007): pp. 149-171.

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Degiannakis, Stavros and Xekalaki, Evdokia (2008): SPEC Model Selection Algorithm for ARCH Models: an Options Pricing Evaluation Framework. Published in: Applied Financial Economics Letters , Vol. 6, No. 4 (2008): pp. 419-423.

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Delle Monache, Davide and Petrella, Ivan (2016): Adaptive models and heavy tails with an application to inflation forecasting.

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Dicembrino, Claudio and Trovato, Giovanni (2013): Structural Breaks, Price and Income Elasticity, and Forecast of the Monthly Italian Electricity Demand.

Dimitrakopoulos, Stefanos and Tsionas, Mike G. and Aknouche, Abdelhakim (2020): Ordinal-response models for irregularly spaced transactions: A forecasting exercise.

Dimitris, Korobilis (2013): Forecasting with Factor Models: A Bayesian Model Averaging Perspective.

Dion, David Pascal (2006): Does Consumer Confidence Forecast Household Spending?

Dion, David Pascal (2006): Does Consumer Confidence Forecast Household Spending? The Euro Area Case.

Dion, David Pascal (2006): Does Consumer Confidence Forecast Household Spending? The Euro Area Case (Appendix to the main text).

Djemaci, Brahim (2016): Forecast future production of municipal waste on the basis of a panel data model in Algeria.

Djennad, Abdelmajid and Rigby, Robert and Stasinopoulos, Dimitrios and Voudouris, Vlasios and Eilers, Paul (2015): Beyond location and dispersion models: The Generalized Structural Time Series Model with Applications.

Dmitriy, Skrypnik and Marina, Shakleina (2019): Counter sanctions and well-being population of Russia: econometric analyses.

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Dobrescu, Emilian (2001): Updated scenarios for the Romanian economy medium-term dynamics. Published in: Romanian Journal of Economic Forecasting , Vol. 1, No. 9 (2002): pp. 5-16.

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Doran, Justin and Fingleton, Bernard (2012): Economic shocks and growth: spatio-temporal perspectives on Europe's economies in a time of crisis. Forthcoming in: Papers in Regional Science

Dragomirescu-Gaina, Catalin and Elia, Leandro and Weber, Anke (2014): A fast-forward look at tertiary education attainment in Europe 2020.

Ege, Yazgan and Huseyin, Kaya (2010): Has inflation targeting increased predictive power of term structure about future inflation: evidence from an emerging market ?

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Emara, Noha and Ma, Jinpeng (2019): An Analysis of the Seasonal Cycle and the Business Cycle.

Ermişoğlu, Ergun and Akcelik, Yasin and Oduncu, Arif (2013): GDP Growth and Credit Data.

Fagan, Stephen and Gencay, Ramazan (2008): Liquidity-Induced Dynamics in Futures Markets.

Faghih, Nezameddin and Faghih, Ali (2008): Nyquist Frequency in Sequentially Sampled Data.

Fajar, Muhammad and Hartini, Sri (2017): Inflation forecasting by hybrid singular spectrum analysis – multilayer perceptrons neural network method, case of Indonesia. Forthcoming in:

Fajar, Muhammad and Prasetyo, Octavia Rizky and Nonalisa, Septiarida and Wahyudi, Wahyudi (2020): Forecasting unemployment rate in the time of COVID-19 pandemic using Google trends data (case of Indonesia). Published in: International Journal of Scientific Research in Multidisciplinary Studies , Vol. 6, No. 11 (30 November 2020): pp. 29-33.

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Fantazzini, Dean (2024): Adaptive Conformal Inference for computing Market Risk Measures: an Analysis with Four Thousands Crypto-Assets. Forthcoming in: Journal of Risk and Financial Management (2024)

Fantazzini, Dean (2023): Assessing the Credit Risk of Crypto-Assets Using Daily Range Volatility Models. Forthcoming in: Information

Fantazzini, Dean and Kurbatskii, Alexey and Mironenkov, Alexey and Lycheva, Maria (2022): Forecasting oil prices with penalized regressions, variance risk premia and Google data. Published in: Applied Econometrics

Fantazzini, Dean and Xiao, Yufeng (2023): Detecting Pump-and-Dumps with Crypto-Assets: Dealing with Imbalanced Datasets and Insiders’ Anticipated Purchases. Forthcoming in: Econometrics

Fantazzini, Dean (2022): Crypto Coins and Credit Risk: Modelling and Forecasting their Probability of Death. Forthcoming in: Journal of Risk and Financial Management

Fantazzini, Dean (2020): Discussing copulas with Sergey Aivazian: a memoir. Forthcoming in: Model Assisted Statistics and Applications : pp. 1-14.

Fantazzini, Dean (2016): The Oil Price Crash in 2014/15: Was There a (Negative) Financial Bubble? Forthcoming in: Energy Policy (2016)

Fantazzini, Dean (2020): Short-term forecasting of the COVID-19 pandemic using Google Trends data: Evidence from 158 countries. Forthcoming in: Applied Econometrics (2020): 1 -20.

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Fantazzini, Dean and Geraskin, Petr (2011): Everything You Always Wanted to Know about Log Periodic Power Laws for Bubble Modelling but Were Afraid to Ask. Forthcoming in: European Journal of Finance

Fantazzini, Dean and Kolodin, Nikita (2020): Does the hashrate affect the bitcoin price? Forthcoming in: Journal of Risk and Financial Management (2020)

Fantazzini, Dean and Nigmatullin, Erik and Sukhanovskaya, Vera and Ivliev, Sergey (2016): Everything you always wanted to know about bitcoin modelling but were afraid to ask. Forthcoming in: Applied Econometrics (2016)

Fantazzini, Dean and Pushchelenko, Julia and Mironenkov, Alexey and Kurbatskii, Alexey (2021): Forecasting internal migration in Russia using Google Trends: Evidence from Moscow and Saint Petersburg. Published in: Forecasting , Vol. 4, No. 3 (2021): pp. 774-804.

Fantazzini, Dean and Shangina, Tamara (2019): The importance of being informed: forecasting market risk measures for the Russian RTS index future using online data and implied volatility over two decades. Forthcoming in: Applied Econometrics

Fantazzini, Dean and Toktamysova, Zhamal (2015): Forecasting German Car Sales Using Google Data and Multivariate Models. Forthcoming in: International Journal of Production Economics (2015)

Fantazzini, Dean and Zimin, Stephan (2019): A multivariate approach for the simultaneous modelling of market risk and credit risk for cryptocurrencies. Forthcoming in: Journal of Industrial and Business Economics

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Francesco, D'Amuri (2009): Predicting unemployment in short samples with internet job search query data.

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Fries, Sébastien and Zakoian, Jean-Michel (2017): Mixed Causal-Noncausal AR Processes and the Modelling of Explosive Bubbles.

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Fry, J. M. (2010): Bubbles and crashes in finance: A phase transition from random to deterministic behaviour in prices.

Fry, J. M. (2010): Gaussian and non-Gaussian models for financial bubbles via econophysics.

Fry, John (2012): Exogenous and endogenous crashes as phase transitions in complex financial systems.

Fuerst, Franz (2006): Predictable or Not? Forecasting Office Markets with a Simultaneous Equation Approach.

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Fullerton, Thomas M., Jr. and Ramirez, David A. and Walke, Adam G. (2013): An Econometric Analysis of Population Change in Arkansas. Published in: Oxford Journal , Vol. 9, No. 1 (11 April 2014): pp. 28-40.

Fullerton, Thomas M., Jr. and Tinajero, Roberto (2005): Borderplex Economic Outlook: 2005-2007. Published in: Business Report SR05-2 No. 2 (25 November 2005): pp. 1-21.

G.K., Chetan Kumar and K.B., Rangappa and S., Suchitra (2021): Analyzing Interlinkages between Financial and Real Estate Sector in the aftermath of COVID-19's Second wave: An Econometric Approach using VECM model. Published in: Towards Excellence , Vol. 13, No. December 2021 (1 December 2021): pp. 692-705.

G.K., Chetan Kumar and K.B., Rangappa and S., Suchitra (2022): Analyzing the Impact of Companies’ Investment on Skill Upgradation in Improving their Resilience amidst COVID-19. Published in: ATMANIRBHAR BHARAT : Opportunities and Challenges , Vol. 1, No. 1 (2022): pp. 24-37.

G.K., Chetan Kumar and K.B., Rangappa and S., Suchitra (2022): Normative analysis of the impact of Covid-19 on prominent sectors of Indian economy by using ARCH Model. Published in: Theoretical and Applied Economics , Vol. 29, No. No. 2 / 2022 (631), Summer (20 June 2022): pp. 151-164.

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Gan, Jumwu (2009): Burnout from pools to loans: Modeling refinancing prepayments as a self-selection process.

García, Jaume and Pérez, Levi and Rodríguez, Plácido (2016): Forecasting football match results: Are the many smarter than the few?

Garratt, Anthony and Petrella, Ivan and Zhang, Yunyi (2022): Asymmetry and Interdependence when Evaluating U.S. Energy Information Administration Forecasts.

Garratt, Anthony and Petrella, Ivan and Zhang, Yunyi (2022): Asymmetry and Interdependence when Evaluating U.S. Energy Information Agency Forecasts.

Gatt, William (2014): Communicating uncertainty - a fan chart for HICP projections. Published in: Central Bank of Malta Quarterly Review 2014:2 (September 2014): pp. 40-44.

Gelhausen, Marc Christopher (2008): Airport Choice in a Constraint World: Discrete Choice Models and Capacity Constraints. Published in: Proceedings of the Air Transport Research Society World Conference 2008 (July 2008): pp. 1-16.

Gelhausen, Marc Christopher (2006): Airport and Access Mode Choice in Germany: A Generalized Neural Logit Model Approach. Published in: Proceedings of the 2006 European Transport Conference (2006): pp. 1-32.

Gelhausen, Marc Christopher (2007): Passengers' Airport Choice. Published in: Proceedings of the Aachen Aviation Convention (AAC) 2007 (2007): pp. 41-51.

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Gerlach, Richard and Naimoli, Antonio and Storti, Giuseppe (2020): Time-varying parameters Realized GARCH models for tracking attenuation bias in volatility dynamics. Forthcoming in: Quantitative Finance (2020)

Gerunov, Anton (2016): Automating Analytics: Forecasting Time Series in Economics and Business.

Ghent, Andra (2006): Comparing Models of Macroeconomic Fluctuations: How Big Are the Differences?

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Giovanis, Eleftherios (2008): Applications of Least Mean Square (LMS) Algorithm Regression in Time-Series Analysis.

Giovanis, Eleftherios (2008): Neuro-Fuzzy approach for the predictions of economic crisis.

Giovanis, Eleftherios (2008): Smoothing Transition Autoregressive (STAR) Models with Ordinary Least Squares and Genetic Algorithms Optimization.

Giovanis, Eleftherios (2012): Study of Discrete Choice Models and Adaptive Neuro-Fuzzy Inference System in the Prediction of Economic Crisis Periods in USA. Published in: Economic Analysis & Policy , Vol. 42, No. 1 (March 2012): pp. 79-95.

Giovanis, Eleftherios (2008): A panel data analysis for the greenhouse effects in fifteen countries of European Union.

Giovanis, eleftheios (2008): A Neuro-Fuzzy Approach in the Prediction of Financial Stability and Distress Periods.

Giovannelli, Alessandro and Proietti, Tommaso (2014): On the Selection of Common Factors for Macroeconomic Forecasting.

Glocker, Christian and Kaniovski, Serguei (2020): Structural modeling and forecasting using a cluster of dynamic factor models.

Gogas, Periklis and Pragkidis, Ioannis (2010): The interest rate spread as a forecasting tool of greek industrial production. Forthcoming in: International Journal of Business Policy and Economics

Gomez-Sorzano, Gustavo (2007): Developing the concept of Sustainable Peace using Econometrics and scenarios granting Sustainable Peace in Colombia by year 2019.

Gomez-Sorzano, Gustavo (2006): Scenarios for sustainable peace in colombia by year 2019.

Gomez-Sorzano, Gustavo (2006): The econometrics of violence, terrorism and scenarios for peace in Colombia from 1950 to 2019.

Gomez-Sorzano, Gustavo (2006): A model of cyclical terrorist murder in Colombia, 1950-2004. Forecasts 2005-2019.

Gomez-Sorzano, Gustavo (2006): A structural model for corporate profit in the U.S. industry.

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Grady, Patrick (1985): The state of the art in Canadian macroeconomic modelling.

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Graefe, Andreas and Armstrong, J. Scott (2008): Forecasting Elections from Voters’ Perceptions of Candidates’ Ability to Handle Issues.

Graefe, Andreas and Armstrong, J. Scott (2012): Forecasting elections from voters’ perceptions of candidates’ ability to handle issues. Forthcoming in: Journal of Behavioral Decision Making

Graefe, Andreas and Armstrong, J. Scott and Jones, Randall J. and Cuzan, Alfred G. (2017): Assessing the 2016 U.S. Presidential Election Popular Vote Forecasts. Published in: The 2016 Presidential Election: The causes and consequences of an Electoral Earthquake (4 October 2017)

Green, Kesten C and Armstrong, J. Scott and Soon, Willie (2008): Benchmark forecasts for climate change.

Green, Kesten C and Armstrong, J. Scott and Soon, Willie (2009): Validity of Climate Change Forecasting for Public Policy Decision Making.

Green, Kesten C. and Armstrong, J. Scott (2007): Global warming: Forecasts by scientists versus scientific forecasts.

Green, Kesten C. and Armstrong, J. Scott (2009): Role thinking: Standing in other people’s shoes to forecast decisions in conflicts.

Guidi, Francesco (2008): Volatility and Long Term Relations in Equity Markets: Empirical Evidence from Germany, Switzerland, and the UK.

Guidi, Francesco and Gupta, Rakesh (2010): Cointegration and conditional correlations among German and Eastern Europe equity markets.

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Guo, Xu and Lam, Kin and Wong, Wing-Keung and Zhu, Lixing (2012): A New Pseudo-Bayesian Model of Investors' Behavior in Financial Crises.

Gurgul, Henryk and Lach, Łukasz (2015): Key sectors after a decade of transformation: Evidence from Poland. Published in: Managerial Economics , Vol. 16, No. 1 (1 June 2015): pp. 39-76.

Guzman, Giselle (2007): Using sentiment surveys to predict GDP growth and stock returns. Published in: The Making of National Economic Forecasts No. Edward Elgar Publishing LTD (2009): pp. 319-351.

Guzman, Giselle C. (2007): Using sentiment to predict GDP growth and stock returns. Published in: The Making of National Economic Forecasts No. Edward Elgar Publishing LTD (2009): pp. 319-351.

Guzman, Giselle C. (2010): The case for higher frequency inflation expectations.

Guzman, Giselle C. (2009): An inflation expectations horserace.

Guérin, Pierre and Leiva-Leon, Danilo (2014): Model Averaging in Markov-Switching Models: Predicting National Recessions with Regional Data.

Haider, Adnan and Hanif, Muhammad Nadeem (2007): Inflation Forecasting in Pakistan using Artificial Neural Networks.

Haider, Adnan and Safdar Ullah, Khan (2008): Estimating Output Gap for Pakistan Economy:Structural and Statistical Approaches. Published in: SBP Research Bulletin , Vol. 4, No. 1 (15 October 2008): pp. 31-60.

Halkos, George and Kevork, Ilias (2013): Forecasting the optimal order quantity in the newsvendor model under a correlated demand.

Halkos, George and Kevork, Ilias and Tziourtzioumis, Chris (2014): Emissions and abatement costs for the passenger cars sector in Greece.

Halkos, George and Kevork, Ilias and Tziourtzioumis, Chris (2014): Greenhouse gas emissions and marginal abatement cost curves for the road transport in Greece.

Harding, Don (2002): The Australian Business Cycle: A New View.

Harding, Don (2008): Detecting and forecasting business cycle turning points.

Harding, Don and Pagan, Adrian (2001): Extracting, Using and Analysing Cyclical Information.

Harin, Alexander (2009): General correcting formula of forecasting?

Harin, Alexander (2014): General correcting formulae for forecasts.

Hartmann, Daniel and Kempa, Bernd and Pierdzioch, Christian (2006): Economic and Financial Crises and the Predictability of U.S. Stock Returns.

Hartmann, Daniel and Kempa, Bernd and Pierdzioch, Christian (2006): Economic and Financial Crises and the Predictability of U.S. Stock Returns.

Hartmann, Daniel and Pierdzioch, Christian (2006): Nonlinear Links between Stock Returns and Exchange Rate Movements.

Hartmann, Daniel and Pierdzioch, Christian (2006): Nonlinear Links between Stock Returns and Exchange Rate Movements.

Hassani, Hossein (2007): Singular Spectrum Analysis: Methodology and Comparison. Published in: Journal of Data Science , Vol. 5, No. 2 (1 April 2007): pp. 239-257.

Hassett, Kevin and Zhong, Weifeng (2017): On the Observational Implications of Knightian Uncertainty.

Hasumi, Ryo and Iiboshi, Hirokuni and Matsumae, Tatsuyoshi and Nakamura, Daisuke (2018): Does a financial accelerator improve forecasts during financial crises?: Evidence from Japan with Prediction Pool Methods.

Havranek, Tomas and Zeynalov, Ayaz (2018): Forecasting Tourist Arrivals: Google Trends Meets Mixed Frequency Data.

He, Zhongfang (2009): Forecasting output growth by the yield curve: the role of structural breaks.

Hegadekatti, Kartik and S G, Yatish (2017): The Programmable Economy: Envisaging an Entire Planned Economic System as a Single Computer through Blockchain Networks. Published in: Economic Growth eJournal , Vol. 09, No. 58 (11 July 2017)

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Henzel, Steffen and Lehmann, Robert and Wohlrabe, Klaus (2015): Nowcasting Regional GDP: The Case of the Free State of Saxony.

Hernández, Juan R. (2020): Covered Interest Parity: A Stochastic Volatility Approach to Estimate the Neutral Band.

Hibbs, Douglas A. (2010): The 2010 Midterm Election for the US House of Representatives.

Hidayat, Budi (2007): Are there differences between unconditional and conditional demand estimates? implications for future research and policy. Published in: Cost Effectiveness and Resource Allocation , Vol. 6, (5 August 2008)

Horvath, Roman and Komarek, Lubos (2006): Equilibrium Exchange Rates in EU New Members: Applicable for Setting the ERM II Central Parity?

Huang, Biao (2007): Random Utility Pseudo Panel Model and Application on Car Ownership Forecast.

Huang, Biao (2007): The Use of Pseudo Panel Data for Forecasting Car Ownership.

Huseynov, Salman and Ahmadov, Vugar and Adigozalov, Shaig (2014): Beating a Random Walk: “Hard Times” for Forecasting Inflation in Post-Oil Boom Years?

Hännikäinen, Jari (2014): Multi-step forecasting in the presence of breaks.

Hännikäinen, Jari (2015): Selection of an estimation window in the presence of data revisions and recent structural breaks.

Hännikäinen, Jari (2016): When does the yield curve contain predictive power? Evidence from a data-rich environment.

Hännikäinen, Jari (2014): Zero lower bound, unconventional monetary policy and indicator properties of interest rate spreads.

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French

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German

Breiding, Torsten (2006): Die Arbeitslosenversicherung in Deutschland – Beitrag zur Bekämpfung oder Ursache von Arbeitslosigkeit.

Czinkota, Thomas (2012): Zeitpunktsignale zum aktiven Portfoliomanagement.

Gelhausen, Marc Christopher (2006): Flughafen- und Zugangsverkehrsmittelwahl in Deutschland - Ein verallgemeinerter Nested Logit-Ansatz. Published in: Proceedings of Deutscher Luft- und Raumfahrtkongress 2006 (2006): pp. 529-538.

Quaas, Georg (2019): Ferndiagnose des RWI-Konjunkturmodells.

Quaas, Georg (2006): Ganzheitliche Wirkungen von Dummyvariablen auf die Prognosegenauigkeit ökonometrischer Modelle – analysiert am Beispiel des RWI-Konjunkturmodells KM59.

Wagatha, Matthias (2007): Integration, Kointegration und die Langzeitprognose von Kreditausfallzyklen.

Greek

Halkos, George and Kevork, Ilias (2014): Διαστήματα εμπιστοσύνης για εκατοστημόρια σε στάσιμες ARMA διαδικασίες: Μία εμπειρική εφαρμογή σε περιβαλλοντικά δεδομένα.

Icelandic

Olafsdottir, Katrin (2006): Úttekt á efnahagsspám Þjóðhagsstofnunar fyrir árin 1981-2002.

Indonesian

Arikha, Dahlia (2022): Strategi Pembangunan Ekonomi Islam M. Umer Chapra.

Situngkir, Hokky (2006): Value at Risk yang memperhatikan sifat statistika distribusi return. Published in:

Italian

Bianchi, Carlo and Calzolari, Giorgio and Corsi, Paolo and Sartori, Franco and Specioso, Isidoro (1974): Aggiornamento del modello al 1974 e nuove simulazioni. Published in: Il Modellaccio , Vol. 4, No. A cura di Giorgio Fua'. Milano: Franco Angeli (1977): pp. 162-188.

Calzolari, Giorgio (1987): La varianza delle previsioni nei modelli econometrici. Published in: CLEUP Editore - Padova - Italy , Vol. 3, No. Serie didattica (November 1987): pp. 1-230.

Calzolari, Giorgio and Panattoni, Lorenzo (1988): Il problema della coerenza delle previsioni nei modelli econometrici non lineari. Published in: Atti della XXXIV Riunione Scientifica della Societa' Italiana di Statistica No. Siena: Nuova Immagine Editrice, Vol 2/1 (April 1988): pp. 271-278.

Doretti, Marco (2012): Modelli di scoring per il rischio paese.

Latvian

Bessonovs, Andrejs (2010): Faktoru modeļu agregēta un dezagregēta pieeja IKP prognožu precizitātes mērīšanā. Published in: Scientific Papers University of Latvia , Vol. Vol. 7, (2010): pp. 22-33.

Skribans, Valerijs (2009): Būvniecības nozares prognozēšanas modelis. Published in: RTU zinātniskie raksti , Vol. 18, No. 3 (2009): pp. 68-82.

Skribans, Valerijs (2010): Darbaspēka migrācijas ietekme uz darba tirgu Latvijā. Published in: LU raksti , Vol. 758, (2010): pp. 189-200.

Skribans, Valerijs (2009): Krīzes un 2009. gada nodokļu politikas izmaiņu ietekme uz Latvijas ekonomiku. Published in: LU raksti No. 743. sējums (2009): pp. 189-200.

Skribans, Valerijs (2003): Latvijas būvniecības nozares attīstības prognoze.

Skribans, Valerijs (2010): Latvijas energosektora sistēmdinamikas prognozēšanas modeļa izstrāde. Published in: RTU zinātniskie raksti , Vol. 26, No. 4 (2010): pp. 34-40.

Skribans, Valerijs (2010): Latvijas iestāšanās Eiropas Savienībā ekonomiskā efekta novērtēšana. Published in: RTU zinātniskie raksti , Vol. 20, No. 3: Ekonomika un uzņēmējdarbiba (2010): pp. 108-116.

Norwegian

Gharsallah, Sofian and Sucarrat, Genaro (2019): Hvor presise er prognosene i Nasjonalbudsjettet?

Persian

Pourghorban, Mojtaba and Mamipour, Siab (2019): Day-ahead electricity price forecasting with emphasis on its volatility in Iran (GARCH combined with ARIMA models). Published in: International Conference on Innovations in Business administration and Economics

Sarfaraz, Leyla and Afsar, Amir (2005): بررسي عوامل موثر بر قيمت طلا و ارايه مدل پيش بيني قيمت آن به كمك شبكه هاي عصبي فازي. Published in: Tarbiat Modaress Economic Reasearch Journal No. 16 (2007)

Polish

Bławat, Bogusław (2012): CRI RMI - Nowy model oceny ryzyka wystąpienia trudności finansowych firm. Forthcoming in:

Portuguese

Baptista, Ricardo F. de F. and Valls Pereira, Pedro L. (2008): Análise do Desempenho de Regras de Análise Técnica Aplicada ao Mercado Intradiário do Contrato Futuro do Índice Bovespa. Forthcoming in: Revista Brasileira de Finanças , Vol. 6, No. 2 (2008)

Boainain, Pedro G. and Valls Pereira, Pedro L. (2009): “Ombro-Cabeça-Ombro”: Testando a Lucratividade do Padrão Gráfico de Análise Técnica no Mercado de Ações Brasileiro.

Caiado, Jorge and Vieira, Aníbal and Bonito, Ana and Reis, Carlos and Fernandes, Francisco (2006): Previsão da eficácia ofensiva do futebol profissional: Um caso Português. Forthcoming in: Gestin (2006)

Caleiro, António (2014): De novo acerca da sazonalidade nos nascimentos em Portugal.

Lúcio Godeiro, Lucas (2012): Estimando o VaR (Value-at-Risk) de carteiras via modelos da família GARCH e via Simulação de Monte Carlo.

Lúcio Godeiro, Lucas (2011): Previsão para as Exportações Brasileiras de 2011 utilizando modelos estruturais.

Romanian

Dobrescu, Emilian (2001): Evoluţia macromodelului economiei româneşti de tranzitie. Published in: Oeconomica , Vol. 11, No. 4 (2002): pp. 49-84.

NUCU, Anca Elena (2011): Managementul riscului de creditare: realizari actuale, analiza critica, sugestii.

Russian

BLINOV, Sergey (2017): Использование взаимосвязи между ВВП и денежной массой для экономического прогнозирования.

Elshin, Leonid and Mikhalevich, Polina (2023): Транснациональные цепочки поставок и их роль в формировании добавленной стоимости региона (на примере Республики Татарстан). Published in: Regional Economics: Theory and Practice , Vol. 8, (8 August 2023): pp. 1458-1477.

Fokin, Nikita and Haritonova, Marina (2020): Сравнительный анализ прогнозных моделей российского ВВП в условиях наличия структурных сдвигов.

Harin, Alexander (2009): Общая корректирующая формула прогнозирования.

Maiorova, Ksenia and Fokin, Nikita (2020): Наукастинг темпов роста стоимостных объемов экспорта и импорта по товарным группам.

Olenev, H.H. and Pechenkin, R.V. and Chernecov, A.M. (2007): Параллельное программирование в MATLAB м его приложения. Published in: (15 May 2007): pp. 1-120.

Olenev, Nicholas (2008): Параллельные вычисления в идентификации динамических моделей экономики // Параллельные вычислительные технологии (ПаВТ'2008): Труды международной научной конференции (Санкт-Петербург, 28 января – 1 февраля 2008 г.). – Челябинск: Изд. ЮУрГУ, 2008. – 599 с. C.207-214. Published in: (January 2008): pp. 207-214.

Polbin, Andrey and Shumilov, Andrei (2023): Прогнозирование инфляции в России с помощью TVP-модели с байесовским сжатием параметров. Published in: Voprosy statistiki , Vol. 30, No. 4 (2023): pp. 22-32.

Polbin, Andrey and Shumilov, Andrei (2024): Прогнозирование основных российских макроэкономических показателей с помощью TVP-модели с байесовским сжатием параметров.

Polterovich, Victor and Denisova, Irina and Shakleina, Marina and Bogatova, Irina and Vartanov, Sergey and Turdyeva, Natalya and Chubarova, Tatiana (2020): Социально-экономические детерминанты болезни Паркинсона для развитых и развивающихся стран.

Rumyantsev, Mikhail I. (2007): К проблеме формализации бизнес-процессов коммерческого банка. Published in: Kultura narodov Prichernomor’ya [Culture of the peoples of Prichernomorye] No. 120 (2007): pp. 137-141.

Rumyantsev, Mikhail I. (2008): Структурно-морфологический анализ бизнес-процессов коммерческого банка. Published in: Informatsionnye tekhnologii modelirovaniya i upravleniya [Information technologies of modeling and control] No. 9 (52) (2008): pp. 997-1005.

Skribans, Valerijs (2011): Разработка модели системной динамики для энергетического сектора в Латвии. Published in: Материалы 9-ой международной конференции Государственное управление в XXI веке: Традиции и инновации , Vol. Часть, (2011): pp. 540-552.

Skribans, Valerijs (2009): Влияние Трудовой Эмиграции на Рынок Труда в Латвии. Published in: Economics and Management: Current Issues and Perspectives , Vol. 15, No. 2 (19 November 2009): pp. 250-258.

Skribans, Valerijs (2010): Модель жилищного строительства в постсоциалистических странах на примере Латвии. Published in: Экономика, оценка и управление недвижимостью и природными ресурсами: материалы Междунар. науч.-практ. конф. (2010): pp. 58-66.

Skrypnik, Dmitriy (2016): BUDGET POLICY AND ECONOMIC GROWTH IN RUSSIA. OPTIMAL BUDGET RULE.

Slovak

Tóth, Peter (2014): Malý dynamický faktorový model na krátkodobé prognózovanie slovenského HDP.

Spanish

Acevedo Rueda, Rafael Alexis (2009): Eficiencia gerencial: propuesta metodológica para su medición y evaluación en el sector eléctrico de Venezuela. Published in: Visión Gerencial , Vol. 1, No. 9 (June 2010): pp. 18-29.

Barrera-Chaupis, Carlos (2014): La relación entre los ciclos discretos en la inflación y el crecimiento: Perú 1993-2012.

Cabrera-Castellanos, Luis F. (2005): Análisis de Coyuntura de la Industria Manufacturera en México. Una Propuesta Metodológica y Aplicaciones. Published in: Revista Portal , Vol. Vol. I, No. 2 (December 2005)

Dávila-Pérez, Javier and Nuñez-Mora, Jose Antonio and Ruiz-Porras, Antonio (2007): Volatilidad del Precio de la Mezcla Mexicana de Exportación.

Estrada, Fernando (2014): Estabilidad política y tributación.

Francisco, Ramirez (2011): Modelos de Estimación de la Brecha de Producto: Aplicación al PIB de la República Dominicana.

Frank, Luis (2024): Proyección del Consumo Privado de Argentina por medio de un Modelo de Corrección de Errores.

González Laxe, Fernando and Da Rocha Alvarez, Jose Maria and Armesto Pina, José Francisco and Sanchez-Fernandez, Patricio and Lago-Peñas, Santiago (2020): Economía de Galicia tras el COVID-19: prospectiva de escenarios. Published in: Informe de Conxuntura Socioeconómica de Galicia , Vol. 2, No. I (8 May 2020): pp. 1-20.

Gutierrez-Lythgoe, Antonio (2023): Autoempleo y Machine Learning: Una aplicación para España.

Gutierrez-Lythgoe, Antonio (2023): Movilidad urbana sostenible: Predicción de demanda con Inteligencia Artificial.

Maldonado, Diego and Pazmiño, Mariela (2008): Nuevas Herramientas para la Administración del Riesgo Crediticio: El caso de una Cartera Crediticia Ecuatoriana. Published in: Cuestiones Económicas , Vol. 2, No. 2 (30 September 2008): pp. 5-75.

Medel, Carlos A. (2012): ¿Akaike o Schwarz? ¿Cuál elegir para predecir el PIB chileno?

Rendón, Stephanie (2013): Detección de caídas en mercados financieros mediante análisis multifractal (exponentes locales y puntuales de Hölder): Índice accionario IPC y tipo de cambio USD/MXN.

Sánchez Navarro, Dennis (2013): Análisis de elasticidades en el mercado automotor colombiano (2009 - 2011) mediante un modelo logit anidado.

Tinoco, Marcos (2020): Modelando la volatilidad del diferencial TED: Una evaluación de pronósticos de modelos con heterocedasticidad condicional.

Urbina, Jilber (2016): Crecimiento del crédito en Nicaragua, ¿Crecimiento natural o boom crediticio? Published in: Revista de Economía y Finanzas , Vol. III, (November 2016): pp. 91-110.

Valdivia Coria, Joab Dan and Valdivia Coria, Daney David (2019): Construcción de una Bolivia artificial: Efectos de la Política Económica desde 2006.

Turkish

Bilgili, Faik (2001): ARIMA ve VAR Modellerinin Tahmin Başarılarının Karşılaştırılması. Published in: Journal of Faculty of Economics and Administrative Sciences, Erciyes University No. 17 (2001): pp. 37-53.

Bilgili, Faik (2002): VAR, ARIMA, Üstsel Düzleme, Karma ve İlave-Faktör Yöntemlerinin Özel Tüketim Harcamalarına ait Ex Post Öngörü Başarılarının Karşılaştırılması. Published in: Dokuz Eylül University, Faculty of Economics and Administrative Sciences Journal , Vol. 17, No. 1 : pp. 185-211.

Ukrainian

Matkovskyy, Roman (2012): Прогнозування розвитку економіки України на основі баєсівських авторегресійних (BVAR) моделей з різними priors. Forthcoming in:

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